I took a vacation after I posted my last mock , but now I am back at work again on the 2024 draft, and with the college season kicking off this weekend I had to put out my last pre-season mock. So far it looks like a higher quality of players than 2023 as a whole. Started grinding tape during day 3 of the 2023 draft, and except for a week long break after I did my first 2024 mock I have been going through tape for next years possible players pretty steadily. Although I still have only done limited work on most of these guys, except for the few players who I jumped the gun on because I expected them to enter the 2022 draft, but they instead opted to stay in school. While I have watched all of these players actually play many times , that is not the same as breaking down the film on them, and I have only currently broken down the film on one game for 127 players. Although after doing a deep dive on the D-Line the last 2 weeks I am now up to 32 players that I have evaluated for least 3 games However there is still so much more tape to watch. Throw in the guys who are draft eligible sophomores that I don't expect to even contemplate going Pro so early, or that haven't played much yet and aren't on my radar right now, and you get the picture. Then chime in with the fact we have little idea what teams will need at that time because of injuries, free agency, retirements , trades , the cap, and who knows what else could happen ? Plus the transfer portal & NIL money has drastically changed the face of college football. These days unless you are guaranteed to be a top 100 pick you might want to take the NIL money , stay in school , and try to improve your draft stock. I had never previously had more than 19 QB'S on my pre-season watchlist of draft eligible QB's , and that was last season. Well I already have 24 right now , and I am sure that number will keep growing. Every year when I post this I look back at last years early mock, and I can see how little we know this far out, because it's a miracle if someone even gets half of the 1rst rounders right. So many guys disappoint, go back to school, get injuries, get in trouble , and others come out of the woodwork. Basically its a crapshoot at this time. I am making a even harder prediction to guess the draft order. Don't lose your minds if your team is picking high , because it's a long time away , and this is even bigger guess than the actual players. The picks are all mine, and so is the order if you want to be mad at someone. They are mostly players I couldn't help noticing while watching last years tape, or guys I expected to enter last years draft that stayed in school. In addition to it looking like a better draft overall than 2023 there some positions that have stuck out so far. Right now QB , OT , DT , and strangely enough safety & guard look potentially deep so far. I mean real guards too. Not college offensive tackles who fail down to guard because I already see 5 that have a chance to go in the top 75 picks. I just got done with a deeper look into the O-Line recently, and now I am going to be doing a deeper dive into the D-Line over the next 2 weeks. I still expect a QB to go #1 , and I expect the Cardinals to have the first pick. It's also hard for me to see Arizona trading Kyler Murray with all the guaranteed money on his deal, and even harder for me to believe someone will trade for him once he gets healthy , and they could trade the pick for a large haul to keep the rebuild going quickly. Although they could still take a QB anyway. Kyler himself was drafted the year after they took Josh Rosen in the 1rst round , but the only team I can think of that might want Murray in a trade is Atlanta. I am putting a QB at #1 either way. So a lot of trades will probably happen, but I don't put trades in mocks until it's draft season again. Without further ado here it is. Agreeing or disagreeing is welcome, but please do it intelligently & respectfully or I just won't post it. so here it is. Enjoy.
# Is for a player for with reported character or maturity concerns.
** Is for a player with reported injury concerns.
1.ARIZONA - CALEB WILLIAMS - QB - USC
2.RAIDERS - DRAKE MAYE - QB - N. CAROLINA
3.RAMS - MARVIN HARRISON JR. - WR - OHIO ST.
4.ARIZONA - (hou)- JARED VERSE - DE/OLB - FLORIDA ST.
5.COLTS - OLUMUYIWA FASHANU - OT - PENN ST.
6.PACKERS - JOE ALT - OT - N. DAME
7.PATRIOTS - CHOP ROBINSON - DE/OLB - PENN ST.
8.TENNESEE - GA'QUINCY MCKINSTRY - CB - ALABAMA
9.BEARS-(car)- DALLAS TURNER - OLB/DE - ALABAMA
10.VIKINGS - MICHAEL PENIX - ** - QB - WASHINGTON
11.TAMPA BAY - KALEN KING - CB - PENN ST.
12.BEARS - JER'ZHAN NEWTON - DT - ILLINOIS
13.WASHINGTON - BROCK BOWERS - TE - GEORGIA
14.GIANTS - MALIK NABERS - WR - LSU
15.HOUSTON-(clev) - EMEKA EGBUKA - WR - OHIO ST.
16.STEELERS - COOPER DEJEAN - CB - IOWA
17.RAVENS - JC LATHAM - T/G- ALABAMA
18.CHARGERS - KAMREN KINCHENS - S - MIAMI
19.ATLANTA - KAMARI LASSITER - CB - GEORGIA
20.JAGUARS - JEREMIAH TROTTER JR. - LB - CLEMSON
21.EAGLES-(no) - TREVEYON HENDERSON - RB - OHIO ST.
22.DENVER - CALEN BULLOCK - S - USC
23.SEATTLE - JATAVIAN SANDERS - TE - TEXAS
24.MIAMI - JT TUIMOLOAU - DE - OHIO ST.
25.LIONS - MICHAEL HALL - DT - OHIO ST.
26.BILLS - ADONAI MITCHELL - WR - TEXAS
27.S.F. 49ers - DONOVAN JACKSON - G - OHIO ST.
28.JETS - JORDAN MORGAN - ** - OT - ARIZONA
29.DALLAS - GRAHAM BARTON - OL - DUKE
30.CHIEFS - JA'TAVION SANDERS - TE - TEXAS
31.BENGALS - SEDRICK VAN PRAN - C - GEORGIA
32.EAGLES - KINGSLEY SUAMATAIA - T/G - BYU
OTHERS ON THE 2024 WATCH LIST
TERRION ARNOLD - CB - ALABAMA
CHRIS BRASWELL - OLB/DE - ALABAMA
JA'COREY BROOKS - WR - ALABAMA
JERMAINE BURTON - WR - ALABAMA
CJ DIPPRE - TE - ALABAMA
MALACHI MOORE - S/CB - ALABAMA
BEAU LIMMER - G - ARKANSAS
KJ JEFFERSON - QB - ARKANSAS
RAHEIM SANDERS - RB - ARKANSAS
JACOB COWING - WR - ARIZONA
JUSTIN FLOWE - LB - ARIZONA
JALIN CONYERS - TE - ARIZONA ST.
DJ JAMES - CB - AUBURN
GABE HALL - DT - BAYLOR
CHRISTIAN MAHOGANY - ** - G - BOSTON COLLEGE
DAVID WALKER - DE - C. ARKANSAS
DONTAY CORLEONE - DT - CINCINNATTI
DESHAWN PACE - LB - CINCINNATTI
BARRETT CARTER - LB - CLEMSON
BEAUX COLLINS - WR - CLEMSON
TYLER DAVIS - DT - CLEMSON
RJ MICKENS - S - CLEMSON
ANDREW MUKUBA - S - CLEMSON
RUKE ORHORHORO - DT - CLEMSON
GRAYSON MCCALL - QB - C. CAROLINA
WILL SHIPLEY - RB - OREGON
SHEDEUR SANDERS - QB - COLORADO
SEYDOU TRAORE -TE - COLORADO
DEWAYNE CARTER - DT - DUKE
RILEY LEONARD - QB - DUKE
JE'QUAN BURTON - WR - FAU
JASON MARSHALL - CB - FLORIDA
PRINCELY UMANMIELEN - OLB/DE - FLORIDA
JAHEIM BELL - WR/RB - FLORIDA. ST.
TREY BENSON - RB - FLORIDA ST.
FENTRELL CYPRESS - CB - FLORIDA ST.
BRADEN FISKE - DT - FLORIDA ST.
FABIEN LOVETT - DT - FLORIDA ST.
JORDAN TRAVIS - QB - FLORIDA ST.
JOHNNY WILSON - WR/TE - FLORIDA ST.
JAVON BULLARD - CB/S - GEORGIA
JAMON DUMAS-JOHNSON - LB - GEORGIA
KAMARI LASSITER - CB - GEORGIA
LADD MCCONKEY - WR - GEORGIA
AMARIUS MIMS - OT - GEORGIA
TATE RUTLEDGE - G - GEORGIA
ARIAN SMITH - ** - WR - GEORGIA
NAZIR STACKHOUSE - DT - GEORGIA
THOR GRIFFITH - DT - HARVARD
D'ANTHONY JONES - DE - HOUSTON
KEITH RANDOLPH - DT - ILLINOIS
CONNOR COLBY - G/T - IOWA
COOPER BEEBE - G/T - KANSAS ST.
DJ GIDDENS - RB - KANSAS ST.
KT LEVESTON - T/G- KANSAS ST.
BEN SINNOTT - TE/FB - KANSAS ST.
STORM DUCK - CB - LOUISVILLE
ASHTON GILLOTTE - DE - LOUISVILLE
JAYDEN DANIELS - QB - LSU
JORDAN JEFFERSON - DT - LSU
SAGE RYAN - S/CB - LSU
MEKHI WINGO - DT - LSU
RASHAN ALI - RB - MARSHALL
JAQUAN SHEPPARD - CB - MARYLAND
JAVION COHEN - G - MIAMI
MATTHEW LEE - C - MIAMI
AKHEEM MESIDOR - DE - MIAMI
ZION NELSON - OT - MIAMI
LEONARD TAYLOR - DT - MIAMI
TYLER VAN DYKE - QB - MIAMI
JAMES WILLIAMS - S - MIAMI
JUNIOR COLSON - LB - MICHIGAN
BLAKE CORRUM - RB - MICHIGAN
DONOVAN EDWARDS - RB - MICHIGAN
KENNETH GRANT - DT - MICHIGAN
JAYLEN HARRELL - OLB/DE - MICHIGAN
KRIS JENKINS - DT/DE - MICHIGAN
JJ MCCARTHY - QB - MICHIGAN
ROD MOORE - S - MICHIGAN
DRAKE NUGENT - C - MICHIGAN
ROMAN WILSON - WR- MICHIGAN
ZAK ZINTER - G - MICHIGAN
KEON COLEMAN - WR - MICHIGAN ST.
JACOBY WINDMON - OLB/DE - MICHIGAN ST.
TYLER NUBIN - S - MINNESOTA
BREVYN SPANN-FORD - TE - MINNESOTA
KRIS ABRAMS-DRAINE - CB - MISSOURI
JAVON FOSTER - OT - MISSOURI
TYRON HOPPER - LB - MISSOURI
ENNIS RAKESHAW - CB - MISSOURI
CEDRICK GRAY - LB - N. CAROLINA
BRYSON NESBIT - TE - N. CAROLINA
DYLON MCMAHON - C/G - N.C. ST.
PAYTON WILSON - ** - LB - N.C. ST.
QUINTON NEWSOME - CB - NEBRASKA
BLAKE FISHER - OT - N. DAME
CAM HART - CB - N. DAME
RYLIE MILLS - DT - N. DAME
DENZEL BURKE - CB - OHIO ST.
TOMMY EICHENBERG - LB - OHIO ST.
MATTHEW JONES - G - OHIO ST.
JOSH PROCTOR - S - OHIO ST.
JACK SAWYER - DE - OHIO ST.
CADE STOVER - TE - OHIO ST.
LORENZO STYLES - WR - OHIO ST.
MIYAN WILLIAMS - RB - OHIO ST.
TYLEIK WILLIAMS- DT - OHIO ST.
DANNY STUTSMAN - LB - OKLAHOMA
CEDRICK JOHNSON - DE - OLE MISS
CADEN PRIESKORN - TE - OLE MISS
AJANI CORNELIUS - OT - OREGON
BRANDON DORLUS - DE/DT - OREGON
TROY FRANKLIN - WR - OREGON
BUCKY IRVING - RB - OREGON
TEZ JOHNSON - WR - OREGON
BO NIX - QB - OREGON
JACKSON POWERS-JOHNSON - OREGON
HENELI BLOOMFIELD - G - OREGON ST.
TALIESE FUAGA - OT - OREGON ST.
ABDUL CARTER - LB - PENN ST.
TYLER WARREN - TE - PENN ST.
KHORDAE SYDNOR - DE - PURDUE
MAX MELTON - CB - RUTGERS
SPENCER RATTLER - QB - S. CAROLINA
ANTWANE WELLS JR. - S. CAROLINA
FRANK GORE JR. - RB - S. MISSISSIPPI
ELIJAH CHATMAN - DT/FB - SMU
BENJAMIN YUROSEK - TE - STANFORD
ORONDE GADSDEN - WR - SYRACUSE
ELIJAH SIMMONS - NT - TENNESEE
JAVONTEZ SPRAGGINS - G - TENNESEE
JAYLEN WRIGHT - RB - TENNESEE
JALEN CATALON - S - TEXAS
QUINN EWERS - QB - TEXAS
JAYLAN FORD - LB - TEXAS
BYRON MURPHY - DT - TEXAS
BARRYN SORREL - DE/OLB - TEXAS
T'VONDRE SWEAT - NT - TEXAS
XAVIER WORTHY - WR - TEXAS
TYREEK CHAPPELL - CB - TEXAS A&M
BRYCE FOSTER - C - TEXAS A&M
TONY GRIMES - CB - TEXAS A&M
MUHSIN MAHAMMAD - WR - TEXAS A&M
DEMANI RICHARDSON - S - TEXAS A&M
LAYDEN ROBINSON - G - TEXAS A&M
AINIAS SMITH - WR - TEXAS A&M
DOODA BANKS - DT - TEXAS TECH
JAYLON HUTCHINGS - NT - TEXAS TECH
QUINYON MITCHELL - CB - TOLEDO
JESUS GIBBS - DT/DE - TOWSON
JAHEIM BELL - TE/WR - S. CAROLINA
JOSH NEWTON - CB - TCU
LAIATU LATU - OLB/DE - UCLA
GABRIEL MURPHY - DE/OLB - UCLA
GRAYSON MURPHY - DE/OLB - UCLA
CARSON STEELE - RB - UCLA
CHRISTIAN HAYNES - G/C - UCONN
JUSTIN DEDICH - G - USC
KOREY FOREMAN - OLB/DE - USC
MARSHAWN LLOYD - RB - USC
JONAH MONHEIM - T/G - USC
DORIAN SINGER - WR - USC
MARIO WILLIAMS - WR - USC
MICAH BERNARD - RB - UTAH
COLE BISHOP - S - UTAH
WILL SHEPPARD - WR - VANDY
JALEN MCMILLIAN - WR - WASHINGTON
ROME ODUNZE - WR - WASHINGTON
BRALEN TRICE - DE/OLB - WASHINGTON
ZION TUPUOLA-FETUI - OLB/DE - WASHINGTON
JADEN HICKS - S - WASHINGTON ST.
MALACHI CORLEY - WR - W. KENTUCKY
AUBREY BURKS - S - W. VIRGINIA
ZACH FRAZIER - C - W. VIRGINIA
CHICO BENNETT - DE - VIRGINIA
BRIAN STEVENS - G - VIRGINIA
BRAELON ALLEN - RB - WISCONSIN
ISAIAH MULLINS - DT - WISCONSIN
JACK NELSON - T/G - WISCONSIN
MAEMA NJONGMETA - LB - WISCONSIN
1st of all thank you. i've been following your mocks for the last few years and i respect your work. and you obviously do a ton of work. but, here are a few observations based on what i've read recently.
ReplyDeleteBeaux Limmer to play C this year?
Keon Coleman at Fla St. this year
Lorenzo Styles to play S this year
also, i know a lot of people are projecting Penix in Rnd 1, and he certainly looked the part last year, but man, with that injury history? a GM might be risking his job.
Thanks for the kind words. As for Limmer. I didn't know so thanks for the update. I knew Coleman had entered the transfer portal , but until I saw him balling out against LSU last night I wasn't aware that he went to FSU. I am putting him in the 1rst round of my next mock as well. Styles was another transfer portal guy , and there are so many of them these days that I admittedly don't catch them all until I see them playing on Saturday's , or I see or hear someone mentioning it. Haven't watched the Ohio ST. game yet because they were playing a overmatched Indiana. Although it's kind of cool that he transferred to Ohio ST. where his dad played , and that he will also get to play with his little brother there. Didn't know about the position switch yet either. So thanks for the heads up. I am just one guy and it's still early so I have lot of work to do ,and there are still plenty of players that will be important come draft day that I won't even know about for a few months. Heck , every year at the Senior Bowl & East/West Shrine game I find out about a few players that weren't on my radar , and I have to play catch up on their tape. Just found out that Willie Lampkin transferred to N. Carolina while I was watching him pancake a guy yesterday ,although I think he will have to move back to center to have a chance of making it in the NFL. So basically I am still adding names for my watch list to find out who to watch at the moment , as I have 9 more after the 6 games I watched this weekend. So I appreciate both your patience , and help if you see anyone else you think I should know about that isn't on my current watch list. As for Penix , his tape is just so good, and I see his progression & growth from Indiana to Washington so clearly on tape. You could be right though , but he has the second best tape of all the QB's I have watched for this draft cycle. Also if there is any NFL position , other than kicker & punter, that you play a long time at its' QB. The rules keep changing to protect them more and more. Since his film is clearly better than Drake Maye's , I only have him lower because of the injuries. Just like Laiatu Latu has the 2nd best tape of all the edge rushers I have watched this off season. However, Latu plays a position with a lot of repetitive collisions , and back & neck injuries terrify me so I will wait for his combine medicals before I rank him. Basically the position that Penix plays , and the nature of his ( admittedly numerous) injuries makes me more inclined to rank him high. Take care
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