# Is for a player with with reported character or maturity concerns.
** Is for a player with reported injury concerns.
1.TENNESSEE - LAREMY TUNSIL - OT - OLE MISS
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - TRENT WILLIAMS - REDSKINS
For a young team that has already gotten the most important (QB)building block of their rebuild in hand the best player available is usually the best strategy. Bosa has the highest floor on the field , with a pretty good upside, but now that I have become aware of some character questions I doubt he is the guy. Ramsey is the cleanest of all the elite top tier players in this draft, and that would be my pick for them, but I doubt they go DB #1. Everything I hear or read from those in the know has so far led me to believe they are going to take Tunsil "IF" they can't trade back. This could be draft smoke screening, because I thought Taylor Lewan was at least in the top half of LT's in the NFL last year, and that's pretty good for a 2nd year player. In fact Lewan (#12)has outplayed (#2 ) Greg Robinson, and (#6) Jake Matthews who were drafted ahead of him in 2014 so far. However, I get it. You want to protect your new franchise QB. Flipping Lewan over to the right side and drafting Tunsil would give them young bookend high level tackles to help the franchise grow into a contender, and the pass rush was the strongest part of the titans defense last year. Tunsil had a odd start to the season. Originally coming off a broken leg , and then held out by the NCAA for receiving extra benefits before the season even started put his draft stock in jeopardy. The punishment finally ended and he started playing again on October 24th against Texas A&M. Not only did Tunsil play, he played really well against a likely 2017 top 10 pick in Myles Garrett, and continued to play well the rest of the year. He showed he is still the same elite talent I saw on tape before the injury too, and his ability to recover in the passing game on those few plays where he is beaten off the snap is extremely rare. Tunsil is a special athlete for an offensive tackle, and if wanted to he could probably drop 25 pounds and be a pro bowl TE.Although he needs to add muscle to be more of a force in the run game he does flash a finishers attitude at times. If he avoids any character mishaps, or another injury while preparing for the draft, I believe he will be the first OT taken at the least.
2.CLEVELAND - CARSON WENTZ - N. DAKOTA ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - CARSON PALMER - CARDINALS
Johnny Football is finally gone. Considering that they let 4 starters leave on day one of free agency it's anybody's guess what their long term plan is now. Logically I have to believe that Cleveland will likely be selecting their 3rd first round QB in 5 years, although there are rumors that they are looking to trade for Kaeperneck, and with there new unconventional front office who knows. I'm going to give them the benefit of the doubt for now though. I had them taking Goff for awhile , but he didn't add the weight I expected before the combine, and his hands were smaller than you want from a QB.I still like Goff more personally anyway, but I now think the Browns go with Carson's upside. If not for an injury that cost him half the year Wentz might have been the consensus #1 QB, but we will never know now. After leading N. Dakota St. to a NCAA division 1 championship ,he was having an even better season this year when he broke the wrist on his throwing hand. While FCS guys are harder to project ,he did play in a pro style offense , and has good tools. He returned from injury for the bowl game ,and led his team to another FCS division championship. While he didn't do anything spectacular at the Senior Bowl he was clearly the best QB there, and he has already demonstrated he can be a weapon on designed QB runs as well. He also had the guts to show up and compete unlike some others. I am not as high on Wentz as some, and think he needs to sit at least a year, but I do believe he will become a good starter in time. Hue Jackson probably gets at least 2 years to show progress , and if Wentz can start games & play well by the latter part of his second season, then Jackson's job should be secure for awhile. The Browns have McCown to man the ship while the kid learns, so they might as well take the guy with better upside now.There is no fan base and city more deserving & QB needy than Cleveland right now.
3.SAN DIEGO - JALEN RAMSEY - CB/S - FLORIDA ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - CHARLES WOODSON - RAIDERS
Brandon flowers looked like he hit the wall last season, Patrick Robinson is a free agent, and perennial stud safety Eric Weddle is also a free agent. Who do you call when you need a corner and a safety? No, not the freaking ghostbusters. You call Jalen Ramsey's name on draft day. Jalen is both the best corner back , free safety, and strong safety in this draft. That alone is quite a feet. He has even played some LB in the same way Arizona uses Deion Buchanon, and the Patriots use Patrick Chung. Personally I would play him at safety over corner. Ramsey can fill either need while teaming with Jason Verrett to give their secondary some long term pieces.
4.DALLAS - JOEY BOSA - DE - OHIO ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JUSTIN TUCK - RAIDERS
No, I will not give them a QB this high if your wondering. Not only does a healthy Romo make them an instant contender, but I believe that Jerry Jones isn't going to use a top 5 pick on a guy who is likely to sit at least a year, and possibly 3. Jerry is in his 70's , and desperately wants to win a Jimmy Johnson-less title he can claim all for his own. Most don't count their last one in 1996 for Jerry, because Jimmy built the overwhelming majority that roster. Although , I do think Dallas drafts a QB in the first 3 rounds to groom for the future, be a competent backup to Romo now & give them a better chance to avoid a complete collapse again if Romo's hurt for a stretch next year. However, Dallas desperately needs playmakers on defense. With Randy Gregory being suspended for flunking another drug test, the unlikely possibility of bringing back the distracting Greg Hardy after a disappointing under productive season, and the 33 year old next season Jeremy Mincey being a free agent coming off surgery , DE is surprisingly a huge need for Dallas. Rarely do you see a 4-3 strong side end who is a great pass rusher, but Bosa is. He also has a great frame with long arms and the overall height and length to be a 5 technique. Shocks blockers with his hands off the snap and stays in control of them until he wants to shed them. He is already very disruptive against the run or pass despite being a focus of offensive game plans . Bosa also has the highest floor of any player in this draft. Not only would Bosa falling here be a steal he would give them a lot more options rushing the passer. Bosa can play either side as a 4-3 end, but he is better fit on the strong side simply because he is stouter at the POA against the run than DeMarcus Lawrence. Both can also move inside to get Gregory back on the field at the same time if he has finally learned his lesson.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JUSTIN TUCK - RAIDERS
No, I will not give them a QB this high if your wondering. Not only does a healthy Romo make them an instant contender, but I believe that Jerry Jones isn't going to use a top 5 pick on a guy who is likely to sit at least a year, and possibly 3. Jerry is in his 70's , and desperately wants to win a Jimmy Johnson-less title he can claim all for his own. Most don't count their last one in 1996 for Jerry, because Jimmy built the overwhelming majority that roster. Although , I do think Dallas drafts a QB in the first 3 rounds to groom for the future, be a competent backup to Romo now & give them a better chance to avoid a complete collapse again if Romo's hurt for a stretch next year. However, Dallas desperately needs playmakers on defense. With Randy Gregory being suspended for flunking another drug test, the unlikely possibility of bringing back the distracting Greg Hardy after a disappointing under productive season, and the 33 year old next season Jeremy Mincey being a free agent coming off surgery , DE is surprisingly a huge need for Dallas. Rarely do you see a 4-3 strong side end who is a great pass rusher, but Bosa is. He also has a great frame with long arms and the overall height and length to be a 5 technique. Shocks blockers with his hands off the snap and stays in control of them until he wants to shed them. He is already very disruptive against the run or pass despite being a focus of offensive game plans . Bosa also has the highest floor of any player in this draft. Not only would Bosa falling here be a steal he would give them a lot more options rushing the passer. Bosa can play either side as a 4-3 end, but he is better fit on the strong side simply because he is stouter at the POA against the run than DeMarcus Lawrence. Both can also move inside to get Gregory back on the field at the same time if he has finally learned his lesson.
5.JACKSONVILLE - MYLES JACK - ** - LB - UCLA
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - PATRICK WILLIS - retired
Left tackle is their biggest need in my opinion, but I see them going defense, because they had no problem scoring points this year. Paul Posluszny is a solid veteran player and the Jags defense is better when he is in the game, especially against the run. However he is injury prone, will be 32 next season, and the jags aren't financially tied to him. In addition Gus Bradley comes from Seattle where the versatile and athletic Bobby Wagner allowed his defense to do a lot of things Gus can't without a similar player. I am convinced that Jack can definitely be an elite playmaker as a 4-3 OLB, or in the middle of a cover 2 or 3 defense like the one Bradley runs.Once he showed up the combine at the rumored 245 pounds & had long arms , he should be a top 10 lock . At that size 3-4 teams will think he can play inside too. How often do you see a linebacker covering the slot , AND doing it well? I even think he would have been a first round pick as a running back if he been devoted to only playing offense in college, because he is that great of a football player. He should be fine by the combine, and with the meniscus not generally being considered a long term problem, I think he still goes in the top 5.If both were completely healthy I still liked him a little more than Jaylon Smith, but Smith's recent serious knee injury makes any debate of who will be the first off the ball linebacker drafted moot. If Jalen Ramsey falls here he could easily be the pick as well.
6.RAVENS - RONNIE STANLEY -OT - N. DAME
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - DUANE BROWN - TEXANS
With Eugene Monroe being injured again, and his knee being a long term issue anyway, the Ravens are probably looking for a long term left tackle prospect. James Hurst has been really bad replacing Monroe, both last season & this year. In fact it was his inability to hold his ground that caused Flacco to tear his ACL & MCL. This pick added to a healthy Flacco, 3rd place schedule, and another great Ozzie Newsome draft can make them a contender right away. Stanley would have been a first round pick in the 2015 draft, would be a big durable upgrade at left tackle in pass pro, and would also be an asset in the run game in their zone blocking scheme. He looked out of shape at the combine, and didn't as test as well athletically as he appeared on tape. He also faced a lot of questions about his love of football. I still like him a lot, but if he doesn't improve at his pro day he could fall a bit .The loss of stalwart LG Kelechi Osemele to the Raiders in free agency, who also played some LT last year, makes this even more likely.
7.SAN FRANCISCO - JARED GOFF - QB - CALIFORNIA
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - KURT WARNER - retired
Colin Kaepernick's Jeckle and Hyde imitation continued this season, and he was benched for almost the entire second half of the season., and while I think he got too much of the blame, his contract allows them to move on from him after this year without a big penalty. Since they brought in Chip Kelly I now think they will keep him , because he should probably excel in Chip's offense. However, there are reports he wants out, so who knows? If that is the case I could actually see them trading up to get a QB. Tennessee is open to it, but will they take less than trade chart value to get it done? The Chargers , Dallas, and Ravens are also trade options, but I am now less certain about far they are going to be willing to move back. In this case Goff falls into their laps. His previous spread offense credentials, ability to quickly get rid of the ball, throw with anticipation, feet & toughness in the pocket, and local boy credentials make him a great fit in frisco. Goff has improved in all areas this season,has a good enough arm to make all the throws, and even adjusted well after a spate of interception heavy games around mid-season. Even though he isn't an elite QB prospect right now, he is still pretty good. He finished really strong in his bowl game, has good touch & accuracy, has the guts to keep his eyes down field & still make a good throw when the rush is bearing down on him, and makes his reads quicker than any other QB in this draft. Goff is the only guy I could see starting from day one as a rookie in this draft, especially in this offense, and that is another reason why I think he gores here.
8.PHILADELPHIA -(dolphins)- EZEKIEL ELLIOT - RB - OHIO ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - LE'VEON BELL - STEELERS
As the Eagles do everything they can to jettison Chip Kelly's acquisitions , and also rid themselves of long term salary commitments, they are going to take a salary cap hit this year. However, ithe trade moved them up 5 spots in the first round , and does put them in position to get one of the elite players left in the draft. Deforest Buckner and Sheldon Rankins are probably out because they just signed Vinny Curry to a long term deal, and Fletcher Cox is a guy they should try to lock up for even more money. That leaves Zeke. They already traded Murray, Spoles is going to be 33 this season, and there are rumors that Ryan Matthews is available in a trade as well. Throw in that Doug Pederson definitely wants to run the ball and it makes a ton of sense. AD is the current gold standard for NFL RB's. No Elliot doesn't have quite the explosive burst or elite long speed of Adrian Peterson, but he does have good burst and long speed. Like AD he breaks a lot of tackles, finishes his runs, and has great balance . Also, Zeke does have better vision & runs with a lower pad level than AD. Then you get to the things Elliot does well that Peterson is bad at. Elliot is a good receiver with huge hands, great pass blocker , and rarely fumbles. I have the same grade I did for both Peterson & Gurley when I evaluated them before the draft. Based on grade alone Elliot is the best player in this draft, but the devaluation of his position , larger injury risk to running backs compared to other positions, and shorter than average effective career span for most RB's make it unlikely he is that high on any ones board.Elliot is the only for sure first round back in this draft, has been extremely productive for 2 straight years, and can play in any system. I expected him to run in the mid 4.5's , but he could be that rare RB that goes in the top 10 after he ran a 4.47 ,and did everything else well at the combine.
9.TAMPA BAY - SHAQ LAWSON - DE - CLEMSON
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - WILL SMITH - retired
I would go left tackle, but there is now a good chance that multiple veteran free agent OT's will be on the market to fill that void, and allow them to fill another big need with this pick.
Lawson had a great season against the run & pass in 2015. He is also big & strong enough to move inside on obvious passing downs. After the game he played against likely top 10 pick Ronnie Stanley everyone was already taking notice, and his steady high level production continued throughout the season. Lawson was even productive in the national championship game limping around on one leg . Shaq is a guy with a high floor , great motor, and guys with all these attributes generally don't last long on draft day . While he predominantly played on the weak side at Clemson, I believe he has the strength to hold up fine on the strong side if they want to play him there.
10.NY GIANTS - JACK CONKLIN - OT - MICHIGAN ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JAKE LONG - FA
When William Beatty went down last year I was afraid that the Giants would move first rounder Ereck Flowers to the blind side, and they did. It went badly, and I now wonder if they might have damaged his confidence to the point that he might not even be a right tackle this year. You hope when a young guy is thrown into the fire that he will at least get better as the season goes along, but it looked to me like he got worse. He injured his ankle multiple times, and I am sure that didn't help his play, but he may be a better fit inside long term. Now that they cut Beatty a new left tackle should be a priority, because whether he ends up at RT or inside at guard it's safe to say Flowers isn't a left tackle right now. The Giants offense is so much better when they run the ball and throw off play action. That makes a throwback mauler like Conklin a good fit. Conklin is a former walk on , self made man who earned a starting job as a red shirt freshman. He has a big frame, long arms, a relentless motor,, and proved at the combine he is a better athlete than a lot of teams think. He is a 3 year starter in a power 5 conference who has improved every year, and still did a very good job this year while playing hurt. He has the angry play through the whistle style that coaches love, and does it with fewer penalties than I expected. He would allow them to play Flowers elsewhere and improve 2 positions.
11.CHICAGO - DEFOREST BUCKNER -DE - OREGON
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - CALAIS CAMPBELL - CARDINALS
With Jay Cutler playing better than expected ,and Jon Fox having an aversion to playing rookies at key positions, I am now thinking they go a different direction in the draft. Although, a year without former OC Adam Gase things could change next year .The bears have plenty of needs though ,and Fox prefers to build on the defensive side of the ball .Jarvis Jenkins is a solid all around player, but he has never been the same explosive player he was in college after tearing his ACL as a rookie. He seems to be getting worse every year, and last year didn't even hold up against the run. With the Bears switch to a base 3-4 defense ,and lacking the long term 5 technique DE prospects needed to take it to next level, Buckner's selection would be ideal.Buckner is a guy I couldn't help noticing on tape when I was watching 49ers 2015 first round pick Arik Armstead. He has similar gigantic dimensions, but was a much more productive player than Armstead on film. He had even better season this time around, won match ups against big time players this year, and must be accounted for on every play. He deserves to go higher than this in my opinion, but I am sure Chicago would laugh all the way to the bank if he was here this late.
12.SAINTS - SHELDON RANKINS - DT/DE - LOUISVILLE
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JURRELL CASEY - TITANS
The Saints don't have an every down interior pass rusher that is a difference maker. In a year full of high level interior D-Line talents Rankins has the best & most complete tape. Down in , down out, run or pass, and playing a variety of positions in multiple fronts this guy consistently made plays . He also did it 2 years in a row, and topped a really good 2014 with a great 2015. However, his build makes him look stockier than he actually is, and I doubted his listed ( 6"2" 305 lbs.)measureables. In fact I thought he would come in closer to 6 feet than 6'1' and 290 pounds than 300. Happily, I was wrong. Rankins came in at a fit 6"1" 5/8 inches tall and 304 pounds at the senior bowl weigh ins. Then he was even better at the senior bowl than I thought he would be, and also had a good combine.He is one of my elite players in this draft, and the number one interior D-Lineman if you run a 4-3 defense . He will also probably be a steal for someone , because some teams really drop players on their boards when they don't have their ideal size.
13.MIAMI-(philadelphia) - TAYLOR DECKER - OT - OHIO ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JACK MEWHORT - COLTS
After a bad 2014 LG Dallas Thomas was even worse in 2015. In addition to that LT Branden Albert has misses multiple games for 4 straight years. So while a left guard is absolutely needed, one that could at least passably fill in on the blindside would be even better..That being said it would currently be a bit of a reach to take any of the OT's left on the board here, but like I said Decker is tailor made for their zone scheme, and could start out at guard. I expect that many offensive line coaches will believe they could make him more consistent, and especially teach him to get off the ball quicker. If he does that alone more consistently he could be great. He can also slide over one spot to left tackle Brandon Albert goes down again, and might be the long term answer there . That makes this an even better fit.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - TERENCE NEWMAN - VIKINGS
After being cut by the Redskins(2013 3 2nd rounder) David Amerson was pocked up by the Raiders , and last year he looked like he was finally starting to fulfill his potential. The 2013 first rounder DJ Hayden has not , and no else in their secondary has stood out ,except for the retiring Charles Woodson. I had previously never seen a sophomore be the best corner in all of college football, but Vernon was in 2014. He got beat more in 2015, but is hasn't affected his confidence. He isn't as tall as you would like , but he challenges receivers like a much bigger man. Once he measured in at 5'10" and half" and over 200 pounds at the combine a top 15 selection is assured, and the top 10 is now very possible. He isn't just a cover guy either, as he also brings it in run support. At the very least he is a long term above average starter , who can also return punts, but polished guys like him usually go to a lot of Pro - Bowls throughout their careers.
15.RAMS- LAQUAN TREADWELL - WR - OLE MISS
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - ALLEN ROBINSON - JAGUARS
The Rams put a first round tender on Case Keenum ,and also have Nick Foles on the roster, so I now doubt they reach for a QB. The organization has spent a lot of high picks ,and even some free agent money on the receiver position ,and still lack a # 1 guy. Treadwell is probably going to be the 1rst receiver off the board in this draft , and was the only one who might have gone in in the top 10 until he announced he wasn't running at the combine. I didn't think he was a burner, and expected a mid to high 4.5 forty tops, but this makes me wonder if he's even slower.That makes the top 10 highly unlikely now, and if he runs slow at his pro day he may not be the first receiver off the board. He shook off the rust in the second half of this season ,and showed he was the same physical player he was before a serious leg injury. A big bodied guy who can go up and win jump balls would be appreciated by any QB, and that's Treadwell down to his toes. Has long arms, strong hands, and is skilled at beating press coverage. He is also an angry runner after the catch, and a good blocker as well.
16.DETROIT - COREY COLEMAN - ** - WR - BAYLOR
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - STEVE SMITH - BALTIMORE
Calvin Johnson's retirement leaves the Lions without a true #1 receiver. Golden Tate is a solid # 2 , but he does his best work out of the slot anyway, and Marvin Jones has only proven to be a complimentary guy so far. Coleman gets open, can catch, and he can stretch the field. If he was 6 "2" he would be a top 5 pick , but even at 5"11" he has been unstoppable this year.He's fierce and reminds me of a young Steve Smith , and once he learns a full route tree he could be an elite weapon for Stafford.
17.ATLANTA - DARRON LEE - OLB - OHIO ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - THOMAS DAVIS - PANTHERS
Roddy White has had a long and distinguished career. In fact he is a future HOFer in my book. However , father time is undefeated and has caught up to Roddy now, but with all the injuries among this draft's top receiver's it's not clear if another receiver will go this high after Treadwell's gone. I would take Corey Coleman , but I think his lack of size will cause him to be a late1/early 2. For now they can get value here with Lee, and fill a need. Paul Worrilow was a liability in the middle for the Falcons, especially in coverage. Lee is a fluid, athletic, play making former DB that would give their defense a lot more range and versatility. He profiles best on the weak side right now ,but he can also move to the middle in nickel.
18.INDIANAPOLIS - LEONARD FLOYD - LB - GEORGIA
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - CONNOR BARWIN - EAGLES
The Colts pass rush is a major weakness. First round bust Bjoern Werner was cut, 35 year old Robert Mathis, soon to be 34 year old Trent Cole, and soon to be 31 year old journeyman Erik Walden are what they are counting on outside next season. I am going to preface this pick by telling you it's a reach to me. Dion Jordan, Barkevious Mingo, and Randy Gregory all have the same ability. They are all explosive, highly athletic, long, lean under powered players with a great get off. Like Jordan & Mingo before him ,the previous years tape rarely has Floyd rushing the passer off the edge, and so all 3 are a iffy projection to the NFL . Floyd's projection is based off scattered pass rush snaps last year, although he did rush a lot more the previous 2 seasons at Georgia. So yes, all are very talented, but the first 3 haven't produced as edge rushers in the NFL so far. While Floyd doesn't have Gregory's off the field problems , Gregory didn't produce a sack in the 12 games he played in last year when he was healthy. So why any team would draft Floyd in the first round when he spent most of his time playing off the ball, and not playing that well there either is beyond me. Scouts tend to want guys based on traits, and coaches want production on tape. While I am a draftnik/amateur scout, I was a football coach first. That being said Floyd does have the talent to easily be the best 3-4 OLB in this draft, and 2 years from now people could be calling him the best player from this draft, but it's too big a risk for me. He is a great athlete that can bend around the arc on the outside on his way to the passer, and has a nifty inside counter off it, but that's all. He needs to add more pass rush moves, muscle, and weight in general. He is too light & weak to be an every down player right now in my opinion. So even as a 3-4 OLB I think he is just a situational pass rusher as a rookie, but he does have the experience & talent to become a plus dropping into coverage if he takes to coaching. All that is why I don't have him as high as many others, but he blew up the combine, and someones gonna take him far higher than his tape warrants. Based on some of his past random personnel choices I am going to guess that guy is Colts GM Ryan Grigson . The potential Boom is huge, but so is the bust.
19.BUFFALO - REGGIE RAGLAND - ILB - ALABAMA
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - ROLANDO McCLAIN - COWBOYS
Preston Brown is good at taking on blocks and before this season he was decent at stuffing the run, but he didn't even do that well this year, and is just OK in coverage & as a pass rusher. Reggie is a violent thumper inside ,that excels at taking on blocks and filling against the run . Ragland also has skills as a blitzer, and can occasionally even occasionally put his hand on the ground & rush off the edge. While he still needs work in coverage, he is passable right now in that area, and has enough athletic ability & a high enough football IQ to develop into a positive factor in there.
20.JETS - ANDREW BILLINGS - NT - BAYLOR
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON- ANTHONY"BOOGER"McFARLAND - retired
Mammoth and productive nose tackle Damon Harrison signed with the cross town rival Giants, and while the front 3 of the Jets defense is still the strength of the team, he will be missed. Billings is massively strong, can take on the double team , penetrate, and already has good quickness off the ball as a pass rusher. He is a raw player, but still very productive, and has a highbupside . Has the ability to play any interior position in a odd or even front. If he takes well to NFL coaching & the mentoring of the veteran studs around him he could be elite.
21. WASHINGTON - JARRAN REED - # - DT/DE - ALABAMA
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON- TY WARREN - retired
NT Terence Knighton is a free agent and DE Jason Hatcher was cut . A guy who can be productive at both positions would fit the bill, and their new GM loves high floor guys. Reed is a beast against the run, and he has enough athletic ability to improve as a pass rusher. The more of his tape you watch the more you appreciate his relentless motor, smarts, and toughness.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - MUHAMMAD WILKERSON - JETS
Jared Crick had a down 2015 and is a free agent. They need an interior D-lineman to take some of the pressure of JJ Watt, and it would help if it was someone versatile enough to move around their front like Watt does. They also need someone who can get penetrate into the backfield against the run or pass, and win the one on ones that Watt provides. It would not only free up JJ to avoid more double and triple teams it would confuse the offense . Butler primarily was a 5 technique at a small school, but his tape was great, and he had a strong showing at the Senior Bowl. It's extremely rare for such a big man to move so well, and he has the quickness to play the 5 technique, and the size and power to play the nose in this defense. That added benefit of being able to take some of the pressure off Wilfork inside makes this an even better fit. Butlers tape just kept getting better, and after a good Senior Bowl week I have him with a first round grade.
23.MINNESOTA - JOSH DOCTSON - ** - WR - TCU
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - AJ GREEN - BENGALS
The Vikings lack a true # 1 receiver. Specifically Bridgewater needs a guy he can go to in clutch situations. Doctson will need to widen his route tree in the NFL, but he is definitely clutch . He also has large sticky hands, great body control, a wide catch radius, and the leaping ability to win jump balls when it matters most. If not for a late season wrist injury I think he would already have been in the first round conversation a lot more before the combine, but after it I say he goes in the latter 3rd of the first round.
24.CINCINNATI - NOAH SPENCE - OLB/DE - # - E. KENTUCKY
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JUSTIN HOUSTON - KC
The Bengals are a franchise that love to draft highly talented players who fall due to character issues, or injury, and many of them have worked out. They also have on of the leagues most talented and deep rosters. This allows them to draft a year ahead in many cases. Spence is a high profile redemption story. His talent is undeniable, but his dismissal from Ohio St. after failing multiple drug tests put even a top 100 round selection in doubt until recently. Not only did he pass lot of tests this year, but he requested to be tested as often as possible, and had a good season. Then he was the best edge rusher at the Senior Bowl, and coaches at both Ohio St. and eastern Kentucky went to bat for him. Things were looking up until he disappointed both athletically & reportedly even in some meeting rooms as well at the combine. I think he would be best in a 3-4 ,as he struggles to hold his ground at the point of attack & shed in the run game, but he has a big enough frame to add a little more muscle and keep his burst & quickness. I wouldn't take him this high, because of the past problems , underwhelming combine , and his inconsistent motor on tape. He can be a situational pass rusher as a rookie, and hit the weights to better hold up as a 4-3 DE long term.
25.PITTSBURGH - WILLIAM JACKSON THE 3rd - CB - HOUSTON
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - DELVIN BREAUX - SAINTS
The Steelers defense is in a transition phase. They drafted 2 smaller corners in 2015, but need another with more size going forward, and they especially need to replace Antwon Blake. Jackson is a tall , lean corner with explosive speed, and a knack for getting his hands on the ball. I liked him on film, but I was pissed when he sat out the Senior Bowl, although it was later revealed that it was due to injury. He looked healed up & bigger at the combine, and that great performance could see him go in the late first round now . If he had played in Mobile (and done well )he would probably be the 2nd corner on a lot of boards right now.
26.SEATTLE - JASON SPRIGGS - OT - INDIANA
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - D'BRICKASHAW FERGUSON - JETS
Russell Oking is currently their best offensive lineman, but he is a free agent , not worth big franchise let tackle money,and they can't pay everybody in the salary cap era.First off let me say the Seahawks should pick nothing but O-lineman in the first 3 rounds, but I doubt they will. I think they trade back unless a tackle they think is athletic enough to play in a zone scheme, and is worth this pick is available when they are up. Spriggs is a 4 year starter that has improved every season. I have a second round grade on him after I finished all his tape, but he had already grown on me a lot this season. If he adds some more muscle & learns to play lower he can be great in time, and if the gargantuan Phil Loadholt can learn to bend his knees so can Spriggs. Like Ferguson his forte is pass protection right now, and his ability to mirror is excellent. He doesn't get a lot of push in the run game , but in the Seattle zone scheme he could make more of a difference than he could for some other teams.He will rise up draft boards after a good senior bowl. He even played with more leverage & knee bend then he showed on his previous game tape in mobile. He is still more vulnerable to inside moves in pass pro than he should be , but it was less of a problem in a ALL STAR games practices than it was on game film. The fact that he has recognized his flaws and is working on them should endear him to NFL teams. If he continues to do well at the combine ,in interviews, and in workouts he should come off the board in the late first round.
27.GREEN BAY - A'SHAWN ROBINSON - DT/DE - ALABAMA
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - MARCELL DAREUS - BILLS
Nose tackle BJ Raji is no longer a force inside and is a free agent this off season. DE Letroy Guion is also a free agent , and while he may be back on a cheaper deal, he was suspended to start the season for a off the field incident. Robinson tape hasn't been as good as I hoped it would be, and he especially needs to get better as a pass rusher & at consistently playing low, but he still has first round talent. He is very strong and consistently shoves O-lineman into the backfield on run plays.He can hold the point of attack against the double team & penetrate when he's on, but he also needs to be more consistent shedding blockers. He can play all the interior positions in any front .
28.KANSAS CITY - GERMAIN IFEDI - T/G - TEXAS A&M
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - ANTHONY DAVIS - 49ers
The only thing former #1 overall pick Eric Fisher has shown for certain is that he doesn't play well as a left tackle., but the signing of right tackle Mitchell Schwartz means they are committed to playing Fisher on the blind side for the immediate future. They also lost guard Jeff Allen in free agency & cut Ben Grubbs due to a failed physical. Ifedi is the next Texas A&M offensive tackle with a good chance to go high in the draft, has really long arms , and he has the nasty streak you want in the NFL. He has already played tackle & guard, has been especially good in the run game, and that's a big plus in this offense. German can play one of the guard spots now, as he is definitely more comfortable on that side, and maybe develop into their long term LT. Ifedi also gives them someone with the talent to passably man the blind side if Fisher falters or gets hurt.
29.ARIZONA - KAMALEI CORREA - OLB/DE - BOSE ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - MELVIN INGRAM - CHARGERS
The Cards need help on the front of their 3-4 defense, especially an edge rusher .I thought Correa should have stayed for his senior year after his numbers were down compared to 2014, because he had a good chance to be a top 20 pick next year. Either way his burst off the snap and motor will get him on the field early. Once he is coached up he could be a force on the outside long term.
30.CAROLINA - MACKENSIE ALEXANDER - CB - CLEMSON
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JOSH NORMAN - PANTHERS
35 year old Charles Tillman tore his ACL at the end of the year and is a free agent.
As a 3rd year sophomore Alexander wasn't a guy I thought would enter the draft, but after watching him blanket Sterling Shepard when he lined up outside in the Oklahoma game I understand why he did. Once I started going through some of his tape it became clear that his feet & hips are awesome. He also has confidence and knows how to get into a receivers head. He may never pick off a lot of balls, but it's hard to tell because QB's avoided throwing into his coverage. If his hamstring injury isn't serious, and he test well at his pro day he's a definite 1rst rounder.
***TRADE*** The COWBOYS trade their 2nd (#34) and 5th round picks to the BRONCOS for their 1rst (#31) rounder***TRADE***
31.DALLAS -(denver)- PAXTON LYNCH - QB - MEMPHIS
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - a more athletic JOE FLACCO - RAVENS
When you have a 36 year old QB that has broken his collarbone twice in one season, and still may have surgery on it again. you NEED to draft a QB. Even if Dallas signs a better veteran backup they still need someone they can develop for the future. Lynch has all the talent in the world , but he needs to learn a lot before he has a chance to be a NFL starter. After he led Memphis to an upset of Ole Miss we all got excited about Lynch. A guy with his elite size, above average NFL arm strength, and athleticism for a QB is rare. He definitely has franchise QB tools. but his performance late in the season was disappointing, especially in his bowl game. When you have a month to prepare for an opponent you should put up your best game. Instead he looked like he was just trying not to lose, and that tentative approach in a game that was tied at half time cost them the game. The whole incident just raises too many questions for me . Will he prepare hard enough? Does he fold under pressure? No one expected them to beat Ole Miss, so the pressure was lower. When the spotlight was on him, and a great game against Auburn would have given him a good chance to be the first QB off the board he didn't come through. While I gave him a 3rd round grade once all my study was done, I still think he gets drafted late first/early second. Lynch is a 2 to 3 year project that still has a lot work to do, but a chance to sit behind Romo for a couple of years would give him a good chance to develop into a possible franchise QB. Trading up into the first gives the boys an extra year of team control on his contract.
32.CLEVELAND - MICHAEL THOMAS - WR - OHIO ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - MICHAEL FLOYD - CARDINALS
Unless Josh Gordon is brought back the browns lack any semblance of a # 1 wide receiver. Even if Gordon is reinstated & in the fold when training camp begins can he be trusted to stay out of trouble? Even if he does keep his nose clean is Gordon still the same great player on the field after so much time away from the game? The Browns need a bigger outside receiver that they can trust to make big plays down the field, and be a go to guy in clutch situations. Thomas is a big receiver with a wide catch radius, and strong run after the catch abilities.
33.TENNESSEE - VONN BELL - S - OHIO ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - DEVIN McCOURTY - PATRIOTS
With long term safety being cut there is a need in the Titan secondary. Bell is another of Ohio states early entries ,and his ability to man up in nickel would be much appreciated in Tennessee. He has already showed how well he can play in the box against the run or pass , but he could polish his tackling .While he didn't play deep as often ,I believe he has the athletic ability to be an interchangeable safety, play some single high, and give them the ability to blitz more.
34.DENVER -(dallas)- CODY WHITEHAIR - G/T - KANSAS ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JOSH SITTON - PACKERS
After the loss of Ryan Clady to his second major injury in 3 years I understand why some people will want a left tackle here. If one pops up that I think might be available this late,fits their scheme, and is a good value, that will be the pick. Keep in mind that Clady was the ONLY Bronco lineman I felt good about in this scheme before they lucked into Evan Mathis, and Mathis is a free agent. They also cut their other starting guard in Louis Vasquez. No matter who the QB is next season I expect them to be running Kubiak's zone scheme. Whitehair is a college left tackle , and while he needs to get stronger he could start at left guard in this scheme. With Cody's experience at both tackle and guard he can just slide to the left one spot if Clady goes down again , and fill in for at least the short term.
35.SAN DIEGO - RYAN KELLY - C - ALABAMA
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JOHN SULLIVAN - VIKINGS
The Chargers have had the worst center play over a 2 year period that I have ever seen in the last couple of years. In 2014 alone they started 5 different players at the pivot. In 2015 Trevor Robinson was the primary guy, and he was not good. Kelly is the best center in this draft for a team that runs the Chargers scheme. All people who love the draft were very disappointed when he backed out of the Senior Bowl, but I am over it now enough to admit that he is still probably going to be the first center off the board.
36.BALTIMORE - DERRICK HENRY - RB - ALABAMA
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - CHRISTIAN OKOYE - retired
Both Justin Forsett and Buck Allen are good players, but neither appears to be the long term answer at RB for the Ravens. Taking a back like Henry to lead their power running game would help take the load off of Flacco , and also help their defense stay off the field.He was born to play in this division, and Ozzie loves him some Bama players.The Heisman winner is big, fast, powerful, and proved he can be the focal point of an offense last year. His ability to run over , through, and away from defenses in the second half of games after they are worn down is awesome. However, after a year with around 400 touches it's probably good that they still have the other 2 backs to share some of the load in the first half of games this tear.
37.SAN FRANCISCO - STERLING SHEPPARD - WR - OKLAHOMA
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - DOUG BALDWIN - SEAHAWKS
Their aren't enough weapons in the 49er's arsenal to give their young QB a good chance to succeed . Despite signing Torrey Smith to a big free agent deal, Anquan Boldin is still their best receiver, and he is a free agent who mostly plays the slot. Sheppard is the best route runner in this draft, has great hands , great quickness, good long speed, and is a very competitive blocker. He could be the safety valve out of the slot that Winston needs to get to the next level.
38.JACKSONVILLE - ELI APPLE - CB - OHIO ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - AQIB TALIB - BRONCOS
The Jags like tall corners. As a 3rd year sophomore Apple wasn't someone I expected to enter this draft, but I have been playing catch up with some of his tape this week. He's big, fast, athletic, and aggressive in coverage.He still needs to be coached up, especially on quickly recognizing route combinations, his penchant for penalties, and work on his tackling. However, he has a high upside and his best football should be ahead of him.
39.TAMPA BAY - ARTIE BURNS - CB - MIAMI
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - DARIUS SLAY - LIONS
Sterling Moore & Mike Jenkins are free agents, and Alterraun Verner just came off his worst season as a pro. Burns is tall with long armed corner, who can press, and became a ball hawk this year. He's also smart reading QB's eyes and schemes in zone. The Florida native he could develop into a long term # 1 corner once he spends a year in a NFL weight room.
40.NEW YORK GIANTS - JONATHAN BULLARD - DE/DT - FLORIDA
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - TYRONE CRAWFORD - COWBOYS
The pass rush was the real key to the Giants 2 Superbowl victories under Tom Coughlin, and despite DC Steve Spagnouolo's return it wasn't a good one last season. JPP already looked on the decline due to his back injury, but blowing up his hand in a boneheaded fireworks gone wrong incident only made things worse. When he finally passed a physical he surprisingly played pretty well, but I was shocked when they brought him back om free agency. Next season I think he would he might be a better fit on the strong side now. So far they have kept playing him on the right though, and it's only a 1 year deal. Well the Giants look like they plan to return to the pass rush glory days now, and are heavily investing in the D-line again. Signing Damon Harrison & Olivier Vernon to huge deals in free agency prove it. What they lack is the Justin Tuck type . Bullard is a tweener that can fill that role. A hybrid 4-4 strong side end and 3 technique. He is quick off the ball and has a strong motor.
41.CHICAGO - HUNTER HENRY - TE - ARKANSAS
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - ZACH ERTZ - EAGLES
Alshon Jeffery is a free agent after the season, and while he they used the franchise tag on him, the Bears may not want to pay him what he wants on a long term deal. Chicago's receiving core was decimated by injuries this year, and Jeffrey has missed significant time in 2 of his 4 seasons. Even if 2015 #1 pick Kevin White returns healthy for 2016 ,and is the guy they thought he was when they drafted him, another receiver is needed. . Cutler was reduced to throwing to Marc Mariani, Josh Bellamy, Deonte Thompson, and Cameron Meredith in the final game of the season. He needs help. It also looks like Martellus Bennett won't be brought back. While Zach Miller actually played well at TE last year, he will be 32 this season, and the journeyman has never had any sustained success in the NFL. Henry is the best receiving TE in this draft right now, with good body control and great hands. While he needs to get stronger & polish his technique as a blocker , but at least he has the frame to get stronger, and gives good effort at it on every play.
42.MIAMI - EMMANUEL OGBAH - DE - OKLAHOMA ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - DeMARCUS LAWRENCE - COWBOYS
The Dolphins lost two 27 year old defensible ends in Derrick Shelby & Olivier Vernon to free agency. That means that 34 year old Cameron Wake and new free agent addition 31 year old Mario Williams are their starting DE's right now. Both are possible HOFers with long distinguished careers, but both are also past their prime. In fact Wake is coming off a major injury and Williams is coming off his worse season ever. I have to assume that even Mike Tannenbaum knows they need more help off the edge. Ogbah has the long arms, burst, size , strength, and violent play style off the edge NFL teams crave. He also has the strength to kick inside on obvious passing downs, even if they resign Hayes and has played both end spots regularly.He is still really raw and mostly gets by on talent right now, and you could see that ability on display when he blew up the combine. If he can become more consistent with his effort & develop a more varied pass rush arsenal Ogbah could be a Pro - bowler once he gets coached up.
43.RAMS -(philadelphia)- KENDALL FULLER - ** - CB - VIRGINIA TECH
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - CEDRICK GRIFFIN - FA
4 year starting corner Janoris Jenkins signed a big free agent deal with the Giants. Fuller will join his brothers as NFL cornerbacks, and has the talent to be the best of the bunch. Although he is coming off an injury I still see his size, previous tape, and polish getting him drafted in the first 2 rounds.
44.OAKLAND - SHON COLEMAN - ** - OT - AUBURN
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - KYLE TURLEY - retiredIt's obvious by the amount of money and draft picks that the Raiders have spent on the group that they are wisely committed to making the offensive line a strength for the long haul. In the draft they have used 2nd(Menelik Watson), 3rd ( Gabe Jackson), and 4th (John Feliciano)round in 2013, 2014, and 2015 on O-Lineman. They have also spent big free agent money on Donald Penn(2015), Rodney Hudson & Austin Howard(2015), and now Kelechi Osemele in 2016. Despite a couple of good seasons in a row Penn is now a free agent, will be 33 next season, and even if he is brought back is at the tail end of his career. Coleman is big, strong, athletic, and can bury people when he's on. If you watch him vs Texas A&M you see him as a first rounder, but if you watch him vs Alabama he looks more like a 3rd rounder with potential. Personally I split the difference and give him a 2nd round grade. I believe many teams will think they can they can refine his technique and improve his awareness, because he really just lacks experience. The reason for that lack is that his career was delayed out of high school due to leukemia, but there is very little chance that disease reoccurs once puberty has ended. I was thinking he might go in the first round, but he skipped the Senior Bowl, and revealed at the combine he had surgery to repair his MCL after the season . So it's good that he had a legit reason to skip the game, but it's bad that he can't workout at the combine, although doctors say he could be ready to workout before the draft. He could be their left tackle of the future.
45.LA RAMS - KENNY CLARK - DT - UCLA
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - STAR LOTULELEI - PANTHERS
The Rams are probably losing Nick Fairley to free agency this off season ,and need someone to team with ALL WORLD stud Aaron Donald inside who get a better pass rush than Michael Brockers. Clark was primarily a nose tackle at UCLA, but he was consistently good against the run, and significantly improved as pass rusher this year.
46.DETROIT - KEVIN DODD - DE - CLEMSON
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - DERRICK SHELBY - DOLPHINS
The versatile Jason Jones is a free agent, so is veteran Daryl Tapp, and Devon Still will be one next year. With the Lions cap situation they don't have a lot of room to keep Jones, ,unless Megatron retires or adjust his contract. Dodd's ability to play either DE position would be welcomed. He's a one year wonder who played his best ball down the stretch, especially in both playoff games. That worries me when a guy enters the draft with so little starting experience, but he's smart, athletic, and has a great frame.
47.NEW ORLEANS - JALEN MILLS - CB/S - LSU
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - BRADLEY ROBY - BRONCOS
Brandon Browner was down right terrible this year. Usually you know you are going to get a lot of penalties with him, but also some physical quality play that frustrates receivers. Not this year, and if ever a guy was a candidate to be cut and eat his dead money on your cap ,it's him. That's really saying something considering the terrible cap situation in New Orleans. Mills has the size any NFL team would like at corner , but primarily played safety at LSU. That's actually why I think he falls this far because he looked great at corner at the Senior Bowl, but his tape at safety isn't worth this high of a pick. The fact that he played his college ball at LSU only makes this choice more likely.
48.INDIANAPOLIS - JOSHUA GARNETT - G/C - STANFORD
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - DAVID DECASTRO - STEELERS
Since protecting Andrew Luck should be their first priority I am hoping they will take the best interior O-lineman available. Jack Mewhort is the only dependable one, they have moved him around the line in his first 2 years , and he has played well wherever he was at. They could just take the best O-lineman available , play him where he is the most comfortable, and put Mewhort at the spot of biggest weakness . If they just take a worthy offensive lineman of any kind I am sure Luck would be happy. After they wasted their first rounder on a poor mans TY Hilton this year,and then signed Hilton to a long term deal anyway, who knows what they are thinking. I wish they had fired GM Ryan Grigson, as I feel he has mismanaged this roster for the most part. At least they wisely kept Pagano . Garnett played in virtually the same offense at Stanford , and could be a plug & play day one starter at LG, but he also has the smarts to try a move to center if they want him there.
49.BUFFALO - KARL JOSEPH - ** - SS - W. VIRGINIA
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - TJ WARD - BRONCOS
Bacarri Rambo is a serviceable player at safety but he is a free agent, and Rex Ryan loves big hitters.Joseph is an undersized safety but he hits like a linebacker, and has long arms for a guy around 5"10". If not for a injury suffered during the season I think he would have had a chance to push himself into the late first round at the Senior Bowl, but going here to a coach that would appreciate his physical style could be work out better for him in the long term.
50.ATLANTA - KEANU NEAL - ** - S - FLORIDA
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - MORGAN BURNETT - PACKERS
Long time safety William Moore was released after a couple of down injury plagued seasons, and 3 more of the Falcons safeties are free agents next year. You could actually make the argument that safety is their biggest need, and that they need to bring in 2 safeties this off season. I would bring in one in free agency and one in the draft. Neal had a nagging hamstring problem last year, but he played through it, and he wasn't someone I expected him to enter the draft early. He's a punishing hitter that covers a lot of ground. An interchangeable safety that can kill it in the box, but also play a decent center fielder, or single high. Keanu plays out of control at times , and while going for the big hit is nice, it sometimes causes him to miss the tackle.
51.NY JETS - XAVIEN HOWARD - CB/S - BAYLOR
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - TRUMAINE JOHNSON - RAMS
Antonio Cromartie was cut this week, and even he is brought back later for less money, he will be 32 next season. Plus Revis will be 31, and Todd Bowles needs a lot of corners because he likes to blitz so much. Howard is a tall ,strong , well built, physical, press corner. Inconsistent on film. I thought he might be a late first rounder until his bowl game, but after that he looks more like a late 2 early 3. Doesn't always track the ball well down the field. Below average long speed, but a good short area burst..
52.HOUSTON - NICK MARTIN - C/G - N. DAME
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - WESTON RICHBURG - GIANTS
The Texans let long time center Chris Myers go last year, and turned the job over to Ben Jones. Jones played alright , but instead of him starting a new era at the position, Jones left in free agency and signed with the rival Titans. Martin is a good technician and played in a similar zone scheme at Notre Dame.
53.WASHINGTON - SUA CRAVENS - LB/SS - USC
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - DANNY TREVATHAN - BRONCOS
6th round rookie Kyshoen Jarrett was the skins best safety this year, and he is best suited to play FS. Dashon Goldosn has been a disappointment since they traded for him, and they can save 7.5 million by cutting him without a dead money hit. Washington also lacks a LB who is good in coverage. Cravens can play SS and play LB for them, but I think his best fit is at LB.
54.MINNESOTA - KENTRELL BROTHERS - ILB - MISSOURI
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - DENZEL PERRYMAN - CHARGERS
OLB Chad Greenway is on the decline , and is still a free agent right now. The Vikings have drafted Anthony Barr & Eric Kendricks in the last 2 drafts and it has payed off. Drafting brothers to play the middle would allow Kendricks to play outside more and upgrade 2 positions. Brother is a tough , smart, fierce tackler, that will be a long term starter in this league for someone.
55.CINCINNATI - WILL FULLER - WR - N. DAME
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JOEY GALLOWAY - retired
The Bengals have already lost Marvin Jones to Detroit & Mohamed Sanu to Atlanta in free agency as well. Fuller is consistently open on tape all over the field, and the only reasons he doesn't go in the first round is the that he had too many drops & has a lean build. I don't like him as much as many others, but he is well worth this pick, and can back defenses off to help the Bengals running & short passing games. With a little more consistency catching the ball he will be an elite play maker for a long time.
56.SEATTLE - CHRIS JONES - DT - MISSISSIPPI ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - LEONARD WILLIAMS - JETS
Brandon Mebane signed with the Chargers, and the cap strapped Seahawk's need to save money somewhere. Jones has long arms and elite frame.Explodes off the ball when fresh. Play declined in 2014 after a promising freshman year so I wasn't expecting a lot when I finally got around to his tape. However, he has as many wow plays as any DT in the draft, but also has a lot of plays that just piss you off. It's kinda like watching Nkemdiche, but Jones got better as the season went along in 2015 . Since this is the year where he is eligible for the draft that makes me suspicious. He really looked like he was actually reaching his potential later in the year, but is that because he knew he was about to get paid? Plays too high too often, and sometimes gives up if his initial move is stopped . Has the strength to play all over in an odd or even front if he could polish his technique and stay low. Motor is inconsistent and gas tank needs work. He can be an elite player if he commits himself to his conditioning and technique. One of the highest upsides in this entire draft at any position , but to me he has boom or bust written all over him. The Seahawks value explosive traits and his type of frame. Plus Pete Carroll has a knack for getting the most out of his players, and this high level veteran defense could help push the kid to excel. I wouldn't be surprised if went in the first round, or fell to the late 3rd. His background check from NFL teams will probably decide that.
57.GREEN BAY - KYLER FACKRELL - OLB - UTAH ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - AARON LYNCH - 49ers
Clay Matthews is the kind of player that would be effective in many different roles. While the packers certainly miss him as an edge rusher they kept saying that they wanted to keep him inside as the QB of their defense . They finally changed course now and say they want to move him back to the edge, but there is no clear cut ILB available in this scenario that is worth this pick. They should address that position in free agency or later in the draft .With Julius Peppers on the decline, turning 36 next season, and the chance to save over 7 million by cutting him they need an edge rusher. They resigned Nick Perry , but Mike Neal was better .and is still a free agent right now. Fackrell has a great frame that could easily add 10 pounds of muscle without losing quickness or agility. He's a versatile jack of all trades that spends more time dropping into coverage than I expected before I broke down his tape, especially when you consider that he a pretty good pass rusher. He could currently be a 3-4 rush backer or 4-3 SAM on day one. With a little more more bulk I could even see him as a 4-3 weak side end, but he needs to play with more violence. For all of these reasons I could see him being the pick, but especially because a Swiss army knife player like Fackrell can give a coordinator the ability to throw a lot of different looks at an offense.
58.PITTSBURGH - JEREMY CASH - ** - SS/LB - DUKE.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - PATRICK CHUNG - PATRIOTS
Strong safety Will Allen is a 34 year old free agent and the Steelers are in the midst of a youth movement on defense. Cash is a beast against the run , and that's what you need first and foremost in the AFC North. Jeremy is a great tackler and strong blitzer who fiercely attacks anyone in his way. He was used like a LB at Duke the way the Cards use Deion Buchanon ,and New England uses Patrick Chung. He is also better in zone coverage than I thought he would be, and with Mike Tomlin taking more of the reigns of the defense the Steelers run a lot more cover 2 than they did under Dick LeBeau. 20 years ago he would have been a top 10 pick, but in today's pass happy NFL he can still be a valuable player if used right.
59.KANSAS CITY - BRAXTON MILLER - ** - WR - OHIO ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - a bigger PERCY HARVIN - BILLS
Alex smith finally started throwing down the field more last year, and he even completed a fair amount of TD'S to WR's. Jeremy Maclin is their best WR, and while they use him out of the slot a fair amount of the time, they need him on the outside more. Miller is a former QB who was the Big 10 player of the year at the position. He surprised me with his hands and catch radius this year on tape. He also had a good week of practice at the Senior Bowl. Miller can not only develop into a good receiver in a couple of years, but out of the gate he can run end arounds , jet sweeps, throw the ball off them, return kicks & punts, and give you a zone read package in the bargain. He is still very raw as a receiver, but could start out as a part time power slot this year while he learns the position.
60.NEW ENGLAND - CHRISTIAN WESTERMAN - G - ARIZONA ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - BEN GRUBBS - CHIEFS
The Patriots had a lot of injuries along the O-line kast year, and it really hurt their play calling. Left guard was especially a problem, and they need a guy who is a good pass protector in this spread heavy offense. Westerman is one of the better interior pass protectors in this class. He has a active violent punch , huge hands that he uses to bludgeon defenders with in pass pro , and doesn't give up much ground in the pocket.
61.ARIZONA - AUSTIN JOHNSON - DT - PENN ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - LINVAL JOSEPH - VIKINGS
Other than one elite 5 technique (Calais Campbell )none of their down lineman can both hold the point of attack against the double team, and get a good pass rush.In a normal year Johnson would have a decent chance to be drafted in the first round, but in a draft this deep in interior D-Line talent, the more highly explosive athletes are likely to go ahead a hard working tough guy like Austin. Johnson is big, strong, has a good motor, plays low, is a hard worker, and has improved every year . He can play the nose or end and produce as a rookie.
62.CAROLINA - TYLER BOYD - WR - # - PITTSBURGH
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JARVIS LANDRY without the blocking
Boyd is a smooth crafty route runner that would be ideal in the slot for the Panthers. Plus having a wide receiver with reliable hands would make Cam's day. He is also an explosive return man & gadget play guy that a smart offensive coordinator could use to wreak havoc on a defense.
63.DENVER - ROBERT NKEMDICHE - # - DT/DE - OLE MISS
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - NICK FAIRLEY - RAMS
The loss of Mailk Jackson is a big blow to the Broncos defense. Nkemdiche is a top 10 talent. He can be as good as he wants to be, but I am now tempering my expectations after finishing his tape, and think he will fall a lot farther than his talent warrants on draft day. He has the size and strength to hold up against the double team as a 3-4 end, and the explosion & quickness to rush the passer as 4-3 three technique. He was the # 1 overall prospect out of high school a few years back for a reason, but a late season bone headed high profile off the field incident involving weed could send his stock tumbling. He compounded it at the combine by throwing a teammate under the bus, and blaming the media for his problems .His production has never quite lived up to his ability, and while some of it is due to double teams, a lot of it looks like it's due to a lack full time effort to me . Denver has a strong veteran locker room full of defensive stars, and the infrastructure to help this kid reach his potential.
while I see Dallas trying to trade back for additional help in the first round, they do not have a current 5th round pick
ReplyDeleteYour right. Thanks for pointing that out. Brice Butler was hurt so much last year that I didn't think the escalator kicked in to push that conditional pick from a 6th into a 5th. I have them trading up higher in my next mock, so it will be fixed. Take care.
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