Monday, February 24, 2014


We are now in the middle of the combine but there are still a few more days to go .The Cowboys won the Baltimore/Dallas coin flip, so the first 96 picks are set now, barring any compensatory picks . That coin flip was the first official act of the NFL scouting combine . A record number of underclassmen (98) has made this draft special . Unlike last season the 2014 draft has the potential to be great . With anywhere from 2 to 5 potential franchise QB's , 3 possible top 10 OT's, and 3 pass rushers with top 5 ability, and a few possible # 1 WR's . Many of those players would probably have been more worthy of the # 1 pick than any player from the 2013 draft .NFL Player comparisons have been added .So next to each player is the NFL player we feel they will most resemble in their prime if they are a hit. The comp is for on the field play only ,and the higher they are ranked the more likely we think they will reach that comparison. This is not a ranking of top picks though. This is how we see the draft going whether we agree with the picks or not. This draft is really deep at RB  ,O-line,CB, and boast the deepest receiver class I have ever seen  . So if your team needs any of those there should be plenty of quality players throughout the top 2 rounds at those positions . After all the medicals & background checks are done by teams I wouldn't be surprised if we ended up with around 40 players with a 1rst round grade this season. Last year we only had 19 players rated as 1rst round picks .Jacksonville did everything it could to screw up their chance at the best possible franchise QB.  The Jags double beat down of Houston has cost themselves Bridgewater ,and the Texans are now in the driver seat. They should take him and we believe their new coach will feel the same . The consensus (Bridgewater, Manziel, Bortles)top 3 QB's in the draft will probably all go in the top 5 picks now . Congratulations to the Seahawks and all their fans.

* Is for a player with possible injury issues now or in his past.
#Is for a player with possible character or maturity issues now or in his past.

1.HOUSTON-TEDDY BRIDGEWATER-QB-NFL COMP-LOUISVILLE-AARON RODGERS-GB- yep... they lost twice to the jags...okay? Anyway, it helps them a ton so their fans should be happy as Teddy officially declared for the draft on new years day. They are now getting the clear cut #1 QB in the draft and a guy who has what Matt Schaub doesn't . Schaub's guaranteed portion of his contract is about done. The Texans didn't win this season, and although they were kind enough to let him start the final game after he had already lost his job, his time as a Texan should be up . Bridgewater not only has the high football IQ and accuracy that Schaub showed in his prime, but he also has the strong arm, quick eyes, pocket presence, poise,  and foot speed that Schaub has always lacked. If this happens I expect the talented Texans to get healthy and make a quick turnaround like the Chiefs did this year. Bridgewater is younger and has a higher upside than Alex Smith though. To be clear I see Teddy as a clear cut franchise QB that ANY team should be falling all over themselves to pick.  I bet coach O'brien (a QB guru) will take Teddy if the choice is up to him . O'Brien has had pocket passers throughout his coaching career, Bridgewater is the best pocket passer in the draft. The only thing that could count against Teddy is his size. Most of O'briens past QB's had bigger frames than Bridgewater . If the Texans take him this could be the pick that finally puts their franchise over the top. The only argument anyone can make to justify taking Manziel over Bridgewater is to please the Texas fan base by taking the hometown boy . While I am a Manziel fan , I grade Bridgewater at a 97 out of 100 just based on football ability , and Teddy is clean off the field . I grade Manziel at a 93 . When you take into account his lack of polish, rebellious attitude , the fact that you need to alter your offense around him, and the off the field worries it's not even close. Will they make the smart decision , or will they worry more about ticket and memorabilia sales ?

***TRADE*** The  BROWNS trade their 1rst round pick (#4) in this draft and their #1 pick in 2015 for the RAMS #2 overall pick this year ***

2.BROWNS-(rams,wash)-BLAKE BORTLES-QB-UCF-NFL COMP-STEVE McNAIR-retired-Since they let pocket passing QB guru Norv Turner leave for Minnesota I played along with the Johnny Manziel rumors for a couple of weeks, but I still think this is just one big smoke screen . The browns leaking to multiple outlets they want Manziel screams that they are hoping to get someone to trade up with , or ahead of them for him . I was thinking maybe they would sign or trade for(Ryan Mallet?) or draft a QB with their second first rounder.  I really didn't think they would take any QB besides Bridgewater at #4 ... until they signed Kyle Shanahan as their new offensive coordinator . That rules out Manziel for me. Shanahan has his merits .You can say he was instrumental in the development of Matt Schaub into a pro-bowl QB , and that he was instrumental in RG3 having the best season a rookie QB had ever had until he hurt his knee the first time . Now you might think that since Shanahan has already mentored a mobile , strong armed, charismatic, high profile , Heisman trophy winning QB , with a gift for creatively ad-libbing , into to the greatest rookie season in history is exactly why they should take Manziel . Seems like sound logic , but there are 2 reasons I disagree . The first reason is Kyle Shanahan's micromanaging & controlling personality. RG3 was considered a genial guy that could get along with anybody. Heck , some say he wants to even be a politician . Shanahan and Griffin then engaged in a season long tug of war that was continuously leaked to the media by someone on both sides No way a guy with Manziels reported anti-authority streak gets along with Kyle . The second reason is Manziels ( even greater than RG3's ) creative streak would be stifled and I doubt it would end happily  .Bortle's doesn't have the same rep or polish of RG3 or even Manziel , but his upside is higher than both. He doesn't have the skins on the wall the other 2 did either . He will probably be grateful for Kyle's tutelage for at least a couple of years . Bortle's potential has even started to grow on me .With Manziel only running the forty at the combine (and measuring smaller than expected ) against  Bortles manning up , letting it rip, and being even bigger than I thought he would be :  I am now personally ranking Bortles ahead of Manziel .

I no longer doubt that Bortles will last outside the top 4 ,so they should take him here if they want him. The recent firing of their GM and club president make me believe that they are definitely taking a QB now. Will they sit at #4 and take the one that falls to them ? Or will they trade up and get the one they want is the question .Oakland , Minnesota ,or Tennessee could take a liking to him and trade up with the Rams to steal him if they wait till four  . A team with a defense this talented just needs a strong running game to be competitive with a rookie QB, as long as he doesn't turn the ball over . If they got Bridgewater I could pick them to go to the playoffs, With one of the other two QB's I still think they could win 8-10 games .This extremely dedicated fan base has been put through the ringer for too long. With 3 picks out of the top 35 they can fill some holes on offense with their next 2 picks, and be competitive this season . 

3.JACKSONVILLE-*JOHNNY MANZIEL-QB-TEXAS A&M-NFL COMP-FRAN TARKENTON-retired-I no longer have any faith in Blaine Gabbert to be a NFL starter. If they had brought in Tebow they would have at least won more games and sold tickets. This year they had a golden chance at the #1 pick and the franchise QB they needed in Teddy Bridgewater, but they beat the Texans twice and pissed the dream away . Head coach Gus Bradley saw up close and personal how Russell Wilson helped turn around the Seahawks, so he shouldn't have as much trouble as some coaches would with with a shorter QB .Love him or hate him (and I have found myself feeling both while watching a single drive he led) Manziel makes big plays at the best times , and he definitely has "IT". "JOHNNY FOOTBALL" is a proven winner in big games in college, and he doesn't turn the ball over. His lack of height  (just a smidge below 6 foot ) and potential off the field troubles make it likely he goes behind the reliable Bridgewater . If he stays out of trouble his leadership, poise, almost supernatural ability to extend plays & avoid the rush make me think he could be a winner in the NFL too. That was before this seasons improvements. Already this year he has shown improved mechanics, an improved ability at reading defenses , and a stronger arm . Even more surprising is his new willingness to buy time with his feet, and then throw the ball, instead of just taking off running like last season. If he stays out of trouble , learns how to run some plays from under center, keeps improving his mechanics ,takes well to NFL coaching , and stays healthy he could be one of the greatest. That's a lot of "IFS" , but I can't help it, I still believe in him . Even if he doesn't do all of that out of the gate  he will ignite the fan base( and Jacksonville needs to sell tickets) right away , and could spearhead a quick turnaround for this team . 

***TRADE*** The FALCONS trade their 1rst round pick (#6 ) in this draft and their #2 pick in 2015 to the RAMS for the #4 overall pick***

4.ATLANTA-(clev,rams)-JADEVEON CLOWNEY-DE/OLB-S.CAROLINA-NFL COMP-MARIO WILLIAMS-#*BUFF-The Falcons lack of a pass rush was obvious to anyone who watched them this year. Their young corners played very well when you consider how long they had to cover too often .GM Thomas Dimitroff showed when he went after Julio Jones that he isn't afraid to pay the price and move up for a special player .  Clowney is definitely a special player worth this trade as long as the falcons return to form . Its hard to imagine them having so many things go wrong at the same time again , and ending up with the a high pick in back to back years. Clowney's once a decade talent alone should make enough of an impact to prevent that from being a problem .Barring one of them screwing the pooch in the pre-draft process I feel confident that Bridgewater ,Manziel, Clowney , and Bortles will be the first 4 players off the board . The only question is what teams they end up on, and in what order.

5.RAIDERS-SAMMY WATKINS-WR-CLEMSON-NFL COMP-JOE HORN-(ret)-Thanks to years of Al Davis mismanaging the team the raiders have the least talented roster in the NFL . New GM Reggie McKenzie finally got a chance to start rebuilding the roster in the last draft , and even after a draft where young fresh bodies were provided we expect it's at least one more year until they are in playoff contention .  With the top 3 QB's in this draft gone the Raiders should definitely skip a QB this high and take the best player available . Michael Vick or another veteran can help this team now , just in case the young guy I have them trading into the bottom the 2nd for isn't ready to start right away  .The raiders lack any WR who profiles as a #1 receiver , although Terrell Pryor could develop into one if they converted him. Watkins fits the bill in every phase of the game ,and he is absolutely the #1 weapon in this draft .He's strong, tough, fast  ,makes plays inside, outside , on screens, end arounds, reverses,  can go up and get the ball,run over someone in his way, run past the defense,  and also helps out in the return game. The raiders finally have the cap room to make some positive off season moves  . Resigning DE Lamar Houston and Tackle Jared Veldheer should be their first priorities. After that they now have the cap room to fill holes with veterans and be competitive. Dennis Allen deserves at least one shot with a legitimate NFL roster .

6.RAMS-(atl)-JAKE MATTHEWS-OT-TEX A&M-NFL COMP-DUANE BROWN-HOU-The rams have made it clear they are willing to move back and get even more picks. GM Les Snead even said he has never had to draft without 2 first round picks , and he isn't sure he would know how to . If they can pull it off and still get Mathews/Robinson that would be a coup . In this case it really worked and they now have 2 first round picks this year ,to go along with 2 first , and 2 second rounders next year. If they pull this off and can't make the playoffs (even in the NFC west)by 2015 Jeff Fisher will get fired .Roger Saffold will probably sign for more money with a team that's willing to pay him more to play tackle. If Jake Long isn't fully healed from his torn ACL by next season Matthews can fill that void .He has the ability to play every O-line position and then slide over full time when Long is done. After the 2015 season they can cut Long with very little dead money anyway, and right tackle Joe Barksdale is a free agent after this season as well .This son of a Hall of Famer was better than any of the tackles in last years draft in our opinion, and they went 1rst, 2nd and 4th in the overall. He would be an upgrade at every spot on the O-line considering the uncertainty of Longs health . Since Sam Bradford was knocked out for the season again last year ,it's about time protecting him became their top priority. Since Jeff Fisher coached Jakes Hall of fame dad I am betting that will be the deciding factor in him wisely picking the more polished Jake ,over the higher upside Greg Robinson . One more thing . I believe in Sam Bradford. I believe if they can get him a good line and # 1 receiver to go with what he has now he can be a great QB.... but he has been hurt a lot . If they could quietly work out a contingency deal to get a top 12 pick in this really deep draft (  Oakland , Minnesota, or even Tennessee maybe ?) for him , and Bridgewater fell to # 2 I could actually see them staying put and taking Teddy .

7.TAMPA BAY-GREG ROBINSON-OT-AUBURN-NFL COMP-JOE STALEY-SF 31 year old left tackle Donald Penn has been a little above average for a while , but has never played at a consistent pro bowl level. He is now 31 , just had a down season,and the bucs can save close to 7 million off their cap by cutting him .Robinson is a mauler that will  help keep thinly built Mike Glennon  upright and greatly improve their push in the run game. Robinson has had a great year ,but in a really run heavy offense ,and until late in the season he wasn't someone I saw as a threat to enter this years draft. After the rumors of him coming out this year started circulating I started doing my due diligence on him, but I only had 3 games of his still left on my Tivo plus the upcoming National championship game. The first game film of his that I broke down forced me to give him the nick name of "pancake". That's how brutal a finisher he can be when run blocking, especially when he is collapsing down from the side or going up field.  He has played pretty well when I have seen him pass block ,but at less than 20 pass snaps a game & with bad hand placement , I am not as confident about him starting out well in the NFL on the blind side . Both Jake Matthews and Taylor Lewan would be better left tackles out of the gate to me , but neither has quite the upside . After the national championship game I still feel the same ,although I am sure that NFL O-line coaches are lining up to man crush on a player that plays with his physicality , athleticism , and mean streak . I found most of his earlier game tape to fully flesh out more of his evaluation , and I am pretty comfortable ranking him behind Matthews . Robinson is a elite athlete for his size that can anchor this O-line for a long time if he can fulfill his potential, but he is not all there yet . At the very least he will probably be a dominant run blocker if he is blocking down , up field, or on the move.  Keep this in mind though -he was straight up overpowered heads up in-line blocking against Florida states Mario Edwards in the National championship game on  multiple occasions . Against stronger DE's he may struggle to get a push inline from time to time if he doesn't stay low .

8.VIKINGS-CJ MOSLEY-ILB-ALABAMA-NFL COMP-DERRICK JOHNSON-KC-I want to start by saying if for any reason Bridgewater, Bortles,  or Manziel falls to here they should run to the podium and take any of them . With all 3 being gone in this scenario they improve their LB core . Erin Henderson had a bad year last season , especially in coverage . Henderson made the decision to move on from him even easier after a couple of run ins with the law in January .  Mosley is a fast sideline to sideline MLB that can QB a defense for a long time, and be one of the leagues better coverage LB'S from day one . He is a basically just a playmaker on any down in any situation . With defensive guru Mike Zimmer now the head coach I am betting he will want this unit to live up to his standards right away . That's hard to do without a great player at every level of the defense and the Vikings have no one even close at LB right now .

***TRADE NYJ TRADE their 1rst rd(#18) 2nd rd(#49 )  pick to BUFFALO for their 1rst  (#9) and 5th round picks ***

9.NYJ-(buff)-KHALIL MACK-OLB-BUFFALO-NFL COMP-BRIAN ORAPKO-WASH- Not only has Quinton Coples been miscast as a 3-4 OLB but 33 year old past his prime Calvin Pace is on the other side. Neither does enough to help the pass rush ,and the Jets have to blitz too much to compensate, These dominoes keep falling by forcing DB's in single coverage to cover too long. Mack would help the Jets defense on every level.  Now that the Jets are out of salary cap hell ,and can fill some  other holes in free agency(their probably won't be anybody really good available at rush OLB) , I expect them to go after a edge rusher in the draft . With the extra 3rd round pick the Jets have from the Darrel Revis trade they can spend some picks to get what they want most .When a guy from a smaller school is the best player on the field against a powerhouse like Ohio St. everyone takes notice, and Khalil Mack was that guy to start the season and kept being the man all year long . The best player available is Mack for the Jets scheme.  Khalil is an elite athlete who has the strength, frame, and agility to play in either 4-3 or 3-4  . While he can drop into coverage and make plays against the run they should try to let him rush the passer as much as possible . If he is put in a Von Miller role I don't think he will make the same impact , because is not quite the athlete that Von is. Long term Anthony Barr has more upside but if I needed an edge rusher right now among the 2 players I would take Mack .

***TRADE*** 49ers TRADE their 1rst round pick(#30) and KC's 2nd  round pick (#56) Tennessee's 3rd round pick(#77) and their own 7th round pick to the LIONS for their first round pick(#10)  this year   ***

10.SAN FRANCISCO-(lions)-JUSTIN GILBERT-CB-OKLA.ST-NFL COMP-PATRICK PETERSEN-AZ-The 49ers have one of the leagues most talented rosters and way too many picks. Since their isn't going to be many openings on this roster trading some of the picks to move around, get what they want most out of this draft , and maybe get some picks for next seasons draft to boot makes sense.  While Carlos Rogers is still a decent corner he will be 33 next season, overpaid for his current production, and the 49ers can save about 5 million off their cap if they cut him. Gilberts improvements this year is staggering and if he improves his ball skills he could perennially lead the league in interceptions . Throw his kick returning ability in the mix and Frisco has a new # 1 corner

11.TITANS-ANTHONY BARR-DE/OLB-UCLA-NFL COMP-DeMARCUS WARE-DALL-I believe Barr has the athletic ability to play a Von Miller role in a 4-3 if needed or even on the weakside . Moving down to the line of scrimmage to rush the passer on obvious passing downs would be his main contribution , but he has the speed to play SLB and drop into coverage . I wouldn't be surprised if someone who realizes that if they just turn him lose going forward all game that he could wreck an offense trades up higher for him . He is still a top 10 pick in my mind and after he wrecks the combine I think his stock will rebound . However his best use is as a 3-4 OLB rushing the passer. New coach Ken Whisenhunt prefers to run a 3-4 . The only young guy currently on this roster who profiles well there is Akeem Ayers ,and he was the SLB in their 4-3 last season . Barr is a steal this late and the titans should run to the podium for him .

12.GIANTS-#TAYLOR LEWAN-OT-MICHIGAN-NFL COMP-JAKE LONG-RAMS-The giants O-line was abysmal last season. Even former perennial all-pro Chris Snee played badly , although injury was a part of that , and he ended up missing most of the season .Still he will be 32 next season and is on the decline .  LT William Beatty played well enough to get a new contract in 2012, but played like crap after he got it. 1rst round draft pick Justin Pugh played right tackle poorly for the 1rst half of the season but he did improve in the second half . His short arms make me think he would be a better fit inside anyway .With David Diehl finally put out to pasture and Kevin Boothe  shuffled between LG and center they need at least 1 new O-lineman . The nasty Lewan might be the best lineman on the roster on opening day .  Putting him at right tackle allows the G-men to put Pugh at left guard and Boothe at center. Improving 3 positions at once seems like a good idea to me. Lewan is only here this late because of his character questions . On his play only I would have drafted ahead of all 3 OT's that went in the top 4 last years draft.

13.RAMS-HA'HA CLINTON DIX-S-ALABAMA-NFL COMP-HARRISON SMITH-S-MINN-In the last 2 years under Jeff Fisher the rams have made a large jump in talent thanks to the RG3 trade and a few free agent deals. The area they have neglected is safety with only the injured TJ McDonald being brought in through the draft. Why they cut Quintin Mikel is beyond me and this will probably be a need . Dix has been a great player, in a great conference, against top competition. I have Calvin Pryor ranked slightly higher in coverage because there is more good tape of him in coverage, but if you play Seattle/San Francisco twice a year the better run defender makes more sense .Dix is the better all around run defender, tackler, and he probably won't have the same amount of penalties Pryor does .

14.CHICAGO-TIMMY JERNIGAN-DT-FLA.ST-NFL COMP-JURRELL CASEY-TENN-Henry Melton was playing this year under the franchise tag before an ACL tear, and who knows if he will be brought back next year . Even if he is resigned they are still running the Tampa 2 ,and front four pass rush is crucial to that defense. Another pass rushing DT next to Melton is a huge need even if they do keep him . Jernigan is strong enough to play the one technique next to Melton . He also is quick and athletic enough to blossom into an elite 3 technique . If his knee(injury was from 2012) checks out for the long term he could go even higher.

15.STEELERS-PITTSBURGH- *LOUIS NIX-NT-N.DAME-NFL COMP-VINCE WILFORK-NE-Two thirds of the once elite front 3 of the Steelers have retired in recent years. With Brett Keisel in his mid thirties, the last of the mohicans could fall soon. The rarest species of player is the 3 down nose tackle. Nix fits that bill and is a special talent that could lead their line for years. Steve McClendon is a decent player ,but if Nix is healed up by the combine he should go top 15, and he would probably be too good a fit to ignore for the Steelers . If Nix isn't healed up and in shape then who knows . The best defender at any position would make sense , or even a trade back to acquire more picks .

***TRADE****  The BENGALS Trade their 1rst(#24) and 2nd(#55) picks to DALLAS for their 1rst(#16), 3rd ,and 7th  round picks***

16.BENGALS-(dall)-DARQUEZE DENNARD-CB-MICH-ST-NFL COMP-JOE HADEN-CLEV-Between Leon Halls injury, Terrence Newman's age(36 next season) , and Dre Kirkpatrick's failure to develop , Pac man Jones is the only reliable corner they have next year. When a guy with his track record is the guy you "can "count on that's scary. Dennard is almost too physical as a corner, but his tough guy attitude will help him to play bigger than he is in the black and blue division .

***TRADE*** CLEVELAND TRADE's the 1rst round(#24) pick they acquired from the COLTS  and the 3rd round pick they got from PITTSBURGH(#83) and their own 5th round pick to BALTIMORE for their 1rst(#17) round pick***

17.BROWNS-(balt)-#MIKE EVANS-WR-TEXAS A&M-NFL COMP-VINCENT JACKSON-With the browns deciding to reach for Blake Bortles at #4 another weapon to make his transition to the big time easier couldn't hurt . Pair him with Josh Gordon & Jordan Cameron and any decent QB coming in is going to have a good shot at success .Like Gordon , Evans also profiles as a # 1 receiver . Evans is the same height as TE Jordan Cameron at  6"5". That means  6"3" WR  Josh Gordon would be the little guy among the trio .The chances of stopping Evans, Gordon, and Cameron is hard to even contemplate .

18.BUFFALO-(nyj)-ERIC EBRON-TE-N.CAR-NFL COMP-DWAYNE ALLEN-INDY- Scott Chandlers return from injury hasn't looked as good as the bills would like. Ebron would give them an elite athlete that would be a mismatch for opposing defenses ,and also a young TE who shown the willingness to block when he is lined up as an inline blocker. Sky's the limit for the kid if he wants it and EJ Manuel needs more weapons .

19.MIAMI-ZACK MARTIN-T/G-N.DAME-NFL COMP-JORDAN GROSS-CAR-Miami was already getting subpar play from their OT's before the Richie Incognito scandal. Now they need a guard and a tackle. . Considering that the only long term lineman they can count on is center Mike Pouncey a versatile one would be the best fit . Martins positional flexibility would give them a better chance at getting their best 5 lineman on the field at the same time. Zach pulled off a amazing feat this bowl season ; he actually won the MVP award of a bowl game ! That's right! An O-lineman was acknowledged as the main man of the new era pinstripe bowl ! Being a former O-lineman and coach of O-lineman myself, I must admit Zach is now my favorite player in the draft. I saw him as more of a second rounder who might be a better fit at guard and his short arms make it harder to stay at tackle . However, after being MVP of the bowl game I say let him play tackle and see if he can hang with quicker guys outside. He also kicked ass and took names at the senior bowl . So tackle it is.

20.ARIZONA-KONY EALY-DE/OLB-MIZZOU-NFL COMP-OSI UMENYIORA-ATL-With there being no Offensive Tackle worth this pick an edge rusher or TE should be the guy here Ealy is a versatile player who can rush off the edge , move inside on obvious passing downs, and he also has the athleticism to drop into coverage if needed .This a deep TE class so I will go edge rusher in the first round .Dee Ford is a better candidate right now,although Ealy's upside is greater .The workouts at the combine among the 3-4 OLB candidates , and which one is the best fit for the Cards scheme should decide it .

21.PACKERS-CALVIN PRYOR-S-LVILLE-NFL COMP-KENNY PHILLIPS-NYG-The Packers definitely need help at safety , even if Morgan Burnett returns to form . Some might think this is a little high for Pryor but he is a complete safety that gets more impressive with each film we watched  .Calvin can not only save you in the back half , he is a physical intimidator that offensive skill players should come to fear in the near future.

22.EAGLES-#LOUICHEIZ PURIFOY-CB/S-FLA-NFL COMP-CHARLES WOODSON-OAK-No safety on the Eagles roster played worth a damm last year. Even once promising Nate Allen has never returned to form after the injury that sidelined him late in his rookie year. Chip Kelly likes to show a lot of looks and blitzes, but he can't do it without someone that he can depend on as the last line of defense.  Kelly also likes length in his defenders. Taller players with long arms like Louicheiz  .If I were the eagles I would try to bring in 2 new starting safety's and a tall corner . One in free agency and one in the draft. Purifoy is a tall speedy corner that is a lights out special teamer, can also play safety, and he can even play offense if you need him to .

23.CHIEFS-*MARQUISE LEE-WR-USC-NFL COMP-TORRY HOLT-(retired)-The best thing about Dwayne Bowe is his blocking. His hands are suspect ,he is getting slower by the year, and he got arrested with weed last season. Although, as a #2 in a run first offense he is a good fit . Donnie Avery is injury prone and his best roll would be as a #3 in the slot. Add that Andy Reid has shown a willingness to draft WR's high and this is a good fit . Lee was the clear #1 WR going into this season. Due to Layne Kiffin's bad play calling, iffy QB play, and injuries Lee had a down year . He played (along with everyone else at USC)  a lot better after Kiffin''s departure . After a lot of silly drops early on he had his best games at the best times  . Lee can be the #1 WR this offense needs and also help out in the return game.

24.DALLAS-(cinc)-AARON DONALD-DT-PITT-NFL COMP-LA'ROI GLOVER-(retired)-With the injury prone and bitter Jay Ratliff finally cut & free agent to be ( who says he will go wherever the most money is) Jason Hatcher over thirty , and Dallas sticking with the Tampa 2 defense , DT is a huge need. Pressure from the front 4 is essential in this defense  and Dallas has a horrible cap situation .It's on the D-Line where the cowboys have had an unprecedented rash of injuries so it should be somewhere on the D-line that they use multiple picks in this draft. A replacement for coming off a franchise tag (and an almost completely lost season )Anthony Spencer might also be a possibility . It is even possible future HOFer Demarcus Ware could be cut in a salary cap move. He is still very good ,but after back-to-back injury riddled down seasons can they afford to pay him a 12 million plus base salary , or push that money farther into the future ? Even though they had a historically bad defense under Monte Kiffin . Dallas finally demoted Monte , but new D coordinator Rod Marinelli worked closely with him this year anyway . Still Dallas is keeping this scheme  around to see if they can make it work with a healthy D-line.  I really expected Aaron Donald's size limitations to make him available at the top of the second round. However, after he dominated the Senior Bowl he probably should get his just due and go higher.I have rated in the top 15, and ahead of Jernigan, but I doubt many will agree with me right now . Dallas has many needs and a tight cap situation. Trading back is probably the smartest thing they can do , but I think Donald might kick so much ass at the combine that they might need to stay put(or trade ahead of Chicago) to get him . Size matters some ,but guys who can rush the passer at any size are more important than anything but QB's in the NFL now .

25,CHARGERS-*BRADLEY ROBY-CB-OHIO ST-NFL COMP-LEON HALL-CINC-I believe the Chargers top 4 corners are the worst set in the league. Roby would give the Chargers the chance to have one corner play decent man to man against Denver.  Roby is quite possibly the fastest player in the draft and he plays the run angry . He is a fluid athlete who lacks technique & needs NFL coaching  . He missed his bowl game with a knee injury , but if he is healed up by the combine he could go a lot higher

26.RAVENS-(clev,indy)-JACE AMARO-TE-TEXAS TECH -NFL COMP-JEREMY SHOCKEY-retired-When the ravens offense was at it's best during its superbowl run they were primarily a 2 TE run first offense . The top 3 TE's on their roster (Dennis Pitta, Ed Dickson, and Dallas Clark )are all free agents this off season . Pitta is coming off a serious injury ,  and is threatening to contest the TE franchise tag  . Dickson has never become the blocker this offense needs . Clark has never been a blocker  ,and will be a past his prime injury prone 32 next year .GM Ozzie Newsome is always a threat to trade back , and entering this draft with only 4 picks makes it likely at least once.  He could go a lot higher and I firmly believe Amaro is a player that is only available this late because of a past off the field incident . The Ravens history of taking guys with character flaws and it working out is well documented . Jace would also give them an elite athlete that would be a mismatch for opposing defenses . He is a large willing blocker in those rare times he does have  block ,and a record breaking TE as a receiver . The slide stops here .

27.SAINTS- *DEE FORD-OLB/DE-AUBURN-NFL COMP-CLAY MATTHEWS-GB-The saints switched to a 3-4 this season and the out-for-the-year Victor Butler was their best fit as an OLB. Junior Gallete did have his moments this season, but I still think they need an upgrade on the outside. Pass rush is the entire key to the Saints defensive scheme and Ford is the kind of versatile pass rusher that can play multiple roles in the Saints defense. I was surprised when Ford showed up at the senior bowl and measured in at 6"2" and 243 lbs. Despite being a playmaker on film I thought he was closer to 6"1" and 225 pounds. , and that he would only be a situational pass rusher in the NFL until he bulked up.   If he just bulked up recently it certainly didn't hamper him any . He has dominated the the senior bowl practices and game . We are betting 3-4 teams that miss out on Anthony Barr or Khalil Mack will be giving him a good long look. Some 4-3 teams may even be thinking he can play a Von Miller role.

28.CAROLINA-KELVIN BENJAMIN-WR-FLA ST-NFL COMP-CALVIN JOHNSON-DET-Like the Houston Texans before them the panthers seem destined to wait far too long to draft a top receiver to pair with their aging # 1 guy. Steve Smith is past his prime & undersized, but he is still the best WR on this team . You would think they would want to do everything they can to help their young franchise QB succeed, but they sure are going about it in a weird way. Benjamin can give Cam a new big possession WR that can win jump balls, move the chains, and give the team a future #1 receiver.  He is a huge guy that will be at least a lethal red zone target right away .

29.PATRIOTS-STEPHON TUITT-DE/DT-N.DAME-NFL COMP-RICHARD SEYMOUR-(fa)-It goes without saying that an elite TE to pair with perennially injured Rob Gronkowski would be their first choice. The only TE in this draft with a(Eric Ebron) 1rst round grade worth this high a pick who doesn't have major off-the field questions is gone this scenario.  Sorry Pats fans . Jace Amaro's red flags probably put him off limits to you . Amaro really shouldn't be available this late in the draft, but if he is I know they will want to take him. But can they? The only reason he could fall this far is because he was accused of a major off the field incident in his past. He's was accused of being a thief not a gang banger but can they take a tight end with character concerns so soon after Hernandez?  They could take Troy Niklas as a wildcard pick, but I would trade back a little if I were going to take him .I was discussing last years draft ,and the players in this one that I would have taken number one off their previous tape if they had entered the draft last season, with a friend this weekend , One of those guys who went back to school was Tuitt and while he was worth the # 1 pick in that draft he might still be worth a top 10 pick in this one . Off last years tape he was elite, and he played much better than Nix & Teo against Alabama in the national championship. He was coming off a sports hernia surgery and started slow because of it . While his season this year wasn't up to par with his 2012, he still made more plays this year than the similarly skilled Ra'shede Hagemen .Hagemen wasn't healing all year ,so that should be even more evidence of Tuitts talent . I am not sure if he will be fully healthy at the combine , but if he is he could go a lot higher .Bill Belichick has always preferred to run a 3-4 defense ,but has lacked the personnel to do so for the last couple of years. Tuitt is that rare prototype 5 technique DE that can set the edge against the double team, but still provide a pass rush. Belichick would covet a player with his physical gifts .  Add, that he can slide inside and do the job when they go to nickel , and this pick makes a lot of sense if he's there when they are on the clock. Since they are the Patriots a trade back is likely if they don't have someone they really covet left on the board when their turn comes.

30.LIONS-(49ers)-JASON VERRET-CB-TCU-NFL COMP-BRENT GRIMES-MIA--The lions have relied on veterans Rashean Mathis and the overrated Chris Houston to play significant minutes this year. Mathis is already near the end and cheap , but Houston will be 30 next season and his salary from his new contract is going to get really expensive in 2015. Better to draft a replacement now .The lions drafted a corner in the 3rd in 2012, and in the second round in 2013. Neither has played that well so far ,so maybe its time they got one in the first round . Combining Verret with their safety pick in the 2nd round could turn their problem secondary into a positive area in one draft .Verret is a smart ball hawk that plays a lot bigger than he is. While some see him as only a slot guy ,I firmly believe he can play outside as well  .To win a division with Aaron Rodgers in it you can always use more pass defenders .

31.DENVER-SCOTT CRICHTON-DE-ORE.ST-NFL COMP-RYAN KERRIGAN-WASH-The 2 best pass rushers in Denver last season were Elvis Dumervill and Von Miller. Between Dumervill's agent making a mistake that cost him his spot in Denver , Von Miller's drug suspension , and now Millers tore up knee they have very little they can count on for a pass rush . Will Miller be the same guy without the chemical help and coming off a major knee injury? Don't know , but even if he is they need someone else that can rush the passer off the edge. Their lack of a pass rush was obvious in the Superbowl. Their defensive stat line not only read no sacks , they didn't even have a hit on the QB .Crichton plays with the strength to hold down the strong side , and has the relentless motor of a NFL pass rusher .

32.SEATTLE-*DEMARCUS LAWRENCE-DE/OLB-BOISE.ST-NFL COMP-SHAUN PHILLIPS-DEN-First and foremost Pete Carroll is a defensive coach who wants to attack. The hawks have deservedly become a destination for players seeking a ring now. They ended up getting both Cliff Avril and Michael Bennett on short term deals at a reasonable price last off season .Both had excellent years rushing the passer, but Bennett's deal was only for 1 year, as opposed to Avril's 2 year deal. The Seahawks have a lot of young cheap players right now due to excellent drafting, but they aren't very far away from free agency ,and are going to get a lot more expensive soon . Just to keep the core pro bowlers that are going to be free agents very soon like Russell Wilson, Richard Sherman, and Earl Thomas is going to be very expensive in 2014-15-16. Bennett's great year is going to make him a lot of money in free agency that they can't match if they want to retain those core player long term , The man got his ring so it was well worth it! .Since I highly doubt he will take another 1 year deal (even for a hefty raise ) they are going to need a replacement . Lawrence is the kind of high motor player who plays bigger than he is , and makes players around him better .

33.HOUSTON-MORGAN MOSES-OT-VA-NFL COMP-PHIL LOADHOLT-MINN-If you are going to draft a new QB it stands to reason that you would want to protect him . Between Derek Newton and Ryan Harris the Texans right tackle position was a problem last season . Moses has played both left & right tackle . but he looks more like a long term right tackle to me, even though his feet looked more comfortable on the left . He would team with Brandon Brooks to put some beef into the run game on the right side .

34.WASHINGTON-KYLE FULLER-CB-VA,TECH-JASON McCOURTY-TENN-Now that Washington is free from the Illegal corrupt penalty given to them by the colluding owners I expect them to be big players in free agency this year . Even so there are only so many DB's they can sign in free agency .The problem is they didn't have one player play above average in the entire secondary last season . Throw in that starting corners Deangelo Hall and Josh Wilson are both free agents this year and a DB with this pick is a must. Out of all the corners in this draft no one can play off coverage as well as Fuller . Although he plays the run like a safety , I would really like to see more film of him getting physical at the line of scrimmage in press coverage . Anyone who watches his tape just ends up rooting for him . Fuller is a smart tough guy corner that battles every snap in the run and passing games .

35.CLEVELAND-(indy)-*MARCUS MARTIN-C/G-USC-NFL COMP-MIKE POUNCEY-MIA-The browns have gotten poor play from both right guards this year. If they can resign Alex Mack, and Mitchell Schwartz can keep getting better ,the Browns would have one of the leagues elite O-lines.  Martin played center this year, but he was previously a guard . He can start at guard , but if they can't resign Alex Mack Martin he can move inside .Martin was a surprising late entry into the draft. Coupling that with Travis Swanson's bad senior bowl puts Martin in the drivers seat at center right now .He will be one of the first interior lineman off the board .

36.OAKLAND-DAVID YANKEY-G/T-STAN-NFL COMP-MARSHALL YANDA-BALT-Rookie guard Louis Nix was overwhelmed for most of last season , but he did play a little better at the end of the year . Past his prime Mike Brisel was his opposite and played worse at the end of the season. At least one of them should be upgraded . If they can resign Jared Veldheer ,  Menelik Watson is healthy. and add the versatile Yankey to  (the on the verge of being a great center )Steve Wisniewski the Raiders could have a young strong line for years to come . Considering thsat they had one of the worst lines in the league last year , I am sure their future skill players would appreciate it. Yankey played his college ball right down the road at Stanford , and although he has played left tackle in the past , he is absolutely better inside at guard. 

37.ATLANTA-Ja'WUAN JAMES-OT-TENN-NFL COMP-ERIC WINSTON-KC-The Falcons were replacing the entire right side of their line at the start of the season . RT Tyson Clabo was their best lineman and they cut him before the season in a salary cap move . LT Sam Baker is inconsistent, injury prone, and after week 10 he was put on season ending IR. Baker's replacement Lamar Holmes was much worse . Quite frankly, I was surprised that Matt Ryan survived the year without missing any serious time due to injury after watching that line  . As a 4 year starter at right tackle for the Vols there is no denying that James was a stalwart in the SEC . His strength is pass blocking right now, but a year or two in a NFL weight room should allow him to get more of the push in the run game you would expect from a right tackle .

38. TAMPA BAY-RYAN SHAZIER-OLB-OHIO ST-NFL COMP-THOMAS DAVIS-CAR-New coach Lovie Smith is back in Tampa Bay , but this time he is the big boss . To properly run the Tampa 2 defense he loves you need a really fast MLB that can cover the middle of the field 15 yards deep . Unless they want to move Lavonte David from the weak side, where he is already a pro bowler & weaken that position , Shazier is the guy for them . Both are better fits on the weak side, but when you are running straight back on so many pass plays ,speed & coverage ability trump take on skills in this defense .They could rival the 49ers for coverage LB's if they make this pick . Having the hall of fame duo of Brian Urlacher and Lance Briggs at LB in Chicago was a big part of what made Lovie's defense work in the windy city .

39.JACKSONVILLE-XAVIER SU'A-FILO-G/T-UCLA-NFL COMP-VERNON CAREY-MIA-Brad Meester's excellent NFL career is just about over. He has had back-to-back down seasons and will be 37 next year . The unrestricted free agent might call it quits , or only be able to find work on a team looking for a veteran backup interior O-lineman . The intelligent, mature, and versatile Su'a can probably play all 5 O-line positions, but I believe his best position is center . You are going to need athletic and savvy lineman to hold up with the improvisational skills of Manziel .

40.MINNESOTA-DEREK CARR-QB-FRES.ST-NFL COMP-TONY ROMO-DALL-Christian Ponders injury history and fragile psyche worries me. He missed significant time this year, the Vikes had a bad record, and he didn't play that well anyway . Matt Cassel and Josh Freeman both got a shot this season too and neither did anything to win the long term job . The Vikes need a QB badly ,and while I am not a big fan of Derek Carr's,  the Vikings need somebody . The Vikes have a strong O-Line and running game .Plus you know Zimmer will make their defense better.  Those are things that give a young developing QB a good chance at success . Throw in QB Guru Norv Turner and maybe Carr's happy feet and inability to make plays under pressure can be fixed .Personally I would take  ,McCarron, Garroppolo or Mettenburger, over Carr, but I don't think Turner will .

41.BUFFALO-#RA'SHEDE HAGEMAN-DT-MINN-NFL COMP-JOHN HENDERSON)- 31 year old Kyle Wiliams is the only 3-4 DE the Bills have ,who not only gets a pass rush , but who is also a above average player .Unlike the perennially overachieving Williams , Hagemen has prototype size for the position , and is one of the more talented players in the entire draft . Adding Hagemen to Williams & Marcel Dareus would give them a possible 3 pro bowl caliber players on the front line .Best of all you could hope that the high level motors of Williams and Dareus would rub off on the underachieving Hagemen .

42.TENNESEE-#CARLOS HYDE-RB-OHIO.ST-NFL COMP-DUECE McCALLISTER-Ken Whisenhunt is going to want to run the ball , and I doubt they pay the underachieving Chris Johnson's 8 million dollar salary this year. With the talent on this O-line any talented back should put up big numbers, even with Jake Locker as the QB . Hyde is a large well rounded power back that wears down defenses , and looks strongest late in games. He's a closer that would take a lot of pressure off of Locker .

43.NYG-DEVANTE ADAMS-WR-FRES.ST-NFL COMP-CORDARELLE PATTERSON-Hakeem Nicks seems to have checked out this season. Usually guys playing for a contract blow up, but he has looked tentative. Considering what they are already paying Victor Cruz to man the slot it stands to reason that they would need a new #1 outside receiver. Adams can give Eli a bigger stronger explosive outside threat. Eli is going to keep just throwing it up downfield when the rush comes . In that case they should get him some guys with the mentality and ability to go up and get it .

44.RAMS- JORDAN MATTHEWS-WR-VANDY-NFL COMP-JORDY NELSON-GB- In back to back years the rams have used 2 high picks on receivers. A 2nd and 4th in 2012 and a 1rst and a third in 2013. While all are still young none of them look like a #1 receiver to me , although Tavon Austin and Steadman Bailey do look like long term contributors . Jordan Matthews is the most polished receiver in this draft ,and could be the last piece the Rams need to give Sam Bradford a real shot at taking this team to the playoffs.

45.LIONS-ODELL BECKHAM JR-WR-LSU-NFL COMP-DERRICK MASON-retired-Back before the Lions finally found their long term #1 WR in Calvin Johnson in the 2007 draft they had already taken three other guys in first round with very little success. From 2003 #2 overall Charles Rogers, 2004 #7 Overall Roy Williams , and 2005 #10 overall Mike Williams they got the equivalent of 2 good seasons and a whole lot of pissed off fans. Although in addition to being the one guy who gave them 2 good seasons Roy Williams at least brought them a haul of draft picks when Jerry Jones foolishly gave them way too much for his disappointing talents. Since Calvin came along they have struggled to find a #2 wide receiver. Whether its through free agency or the draft no one has measured up for a myriad of reasons. Johnson has routinely been double/ triple teamed by anyone with a brain because no other Lions receiver has been successful enough to make them back off him. New coach Jim Caldwell will see the same thing and this is the best way to remedy the situation, Beckham is a versatile guy that seems to play bigger than he is, and he make plays no matter the situation . He is a speedy team first guy that contributes as a receiver , blocker, and returning kicks & punts .Geno Smith needs more weapons if you want him to have a good chance at succeeding .

46.STEELERS-TROY NIKLAS-TE-N.DAME-NFL COMP-JASON WITTEN-DALL-Niklas is the most underrated TE in this draft. He is already the best blocking TE of all the top guys , but he was underused as a receiver at Notre Dame . He is big , fast, has good hands, and is tough over the middle .Heath Miller was once one of the best all around TE's in the league but he wasn't the same after returning from knee surgery last year, especially as a blocker . While he still has some value as a player ,it's far less than what he is scheduled to be payed ,and the cash strapped Steelers can save over 6 million off the cap by cutting him  My guess is he takes a pay cut , they draft another TE, and Miller mentors him while they run 2 TE sets this year .

47.DALLAS-BRANDIN COOKS-WR-ORE.ST-NFL COMP-PERCY HARVIN-SEA-Dallas wisely spent their first roundpick on their woeful defensive line . In this scenario the extra second round pick they got from the Bengals gives them the luxury to take the best player available at least once this round. Dallas drafted Terrence Williams last year to be a deep threat and eventually replacement to Miles Austin. He showed the ability to fill both spots over the course of the season, but he isn't the burner this offense has lacked for a long time. Cooks is a burner ,who would not only replace the just average and limited Cole Beasley out of the slot , he can also play outside . Brandin could also open up their offense with reverses/end arounds ,and give them a player that the defense just can't catch .Throw in the elite speed, quickness, separation, and change of direction he possesses and it's a wonder he is still on the board . He has returned kicks & punts , and while he has the tools to be great at it, he isn't right now . If he were already a elite return guy, in addition to what he gives you as receiver , he would be a top 20 pick for sure .I believe he could eventually be Percy Harvin , without the regular injuries and attitude problems . At the very least I see him as a elite slot receiver .

 48.RAVENS-BRANDON THOMAS-T/G-CLEM-NFL COMP-JOSH SITTON-GB-The Raven line is in flux right now . Marshall Yanda and Eugene Monroe are probably the only blockers that can be counted on to definitely return and start in Baltimore next season . Thomas has the feet and long arms of a tackle, but the build of a guard . His versatility added to Yanda's would go a long way toward the Ravens getting their 5 best lineman on the field at the same time .

49.BUFF-(nyj)-ALLEN ROBINSON-WR-PENN ST-NFL COMP-DEZ BRYANT-DAL - Stevie Johnson is the number one receiver in buffalo , and while he is solid, I think he would be a better fit as a consistent deep threat or number 2 . Robinson is big , fierce, and explosive . Adding him with Ebron not only helps their young QB out in the passing game, those 2 guys are the kind of blockers that spring running backs for long gains down the field .

50.MIAMI-*CYRUS KOUANDJIO-OT-ALA-NFL COMP-JASON PETERS-PHIL--Taking Zach Martin in the first round only alleviates part of the problem .They still need at least one more lineman to have a chance at making it work .  Kouandjou should at least be a better pass blocker than what they currently have , and will help keep Tannehill upright .Kouanjou had a bad combine . First the medical checks revealed that he has a degenerative knee condition .Then he looked heavy footed and stiff compared to most of the other possible top OT's . So that probably means the first round is bye-bye. How many years can he play at a high level ? 3-5-7 ? Or will he be able to play 10 years but need to miss games periodically to rest his knee ? There is no way of knowing for sure because each individual is different . I like to be conservative so I will say 5 years . He is still a huge framed, long armed guy with decent feet .So I think he still goes mid second round to a team that hasn't flunked his physical , and sees a bargain .Right now if you put Cyrus in at left tackle it would still be an upgrade over what they currently have . Although that's not saying much, but I think his best fit long term is on the right side . If he can play at an above average level throughout his first contract  he is still worth this pick .

 51.BEARS-KYLE VAN NOY-OLB-BYU-NFL COMP-KJ WRIGHT-SEA-I am convinced the intelligent and smooth Van Noy can play any linebacker spot in a odd or even front. After the retirement of Urlacher the Bears turned over the middle to rookie 2nd rounder Jon Bostic .  The results weren't pretty. I am not saying to give up on him just yet ,but someone young that can play the middle if he falters again would be wise. 31 year old James Anderson was just plain bad last year . Future HOFer Lance Briggs is 34 and near the end of a great career. Van Noy would be an upgrade somewhere in the bear LB core.

52.ARIZONA-*ZACH METTENBURGER-QB-LSU-NFL COMP-JOE FLACCO-BALT-While I expected the cardinals offense to be much improved with Carson Palmer , and while he was better than what they had before, he did throw 22 picks . Even then they are a solid team... but the NFC west is now the most talented division in football. The 49ers and Seahawks are legitimate perennial super bowl contenders now ,and the young and talented rams should be a playoff contender next year .  Metteneburgers improvement under new OC Cam Cameron was impressive last season, but a torn ACL knocked him back some. He also played in a pro system, in a tough conference, and has a cannon attached to his shoulder. He is an ideal fit for Bruce Arians vertical offense and he could take his time to heal up and learn the offense while Palmer manned the ship to start the season .

53.GREEN BAY-LaMARCUS JOYNER-CB/S-FLA.ST-NFL COMP-TYRANN MATHIEU-AZ-  CB Sam Shields is a free agent after this year and even if he is resigned the Pack could use another corner . The versatile Joyner can play both corner & safety . His best fit is to be used as as a slot corner safety hybrid , the same way the cards use the honey badger He is also the kind of guy that will push everyone around him to play better 

54.EAGLES-CHRIS BORLAND-ILB-WISC-NFL COMP-STEPHEN TULLOCH-DET- Demeco Ryans did not play well in the middle last season last season .In fact his play has steadily declined for years . Whether its just because of accumulated damage to his body , or that he needs to be in a 4-3 where he is protected to run to the ball no longer matters. The important thing is the Eagles can save 6,8 million off their cap ,and get a better & younger player to team inside with Mychal Kendricks . Borland is the kind of instinctual hard working gamer that will probably outplay his draft status. If he was just 2 inches taller Borland would be a easy 1rst round pick .


55.DALLAS-(cinc)-AJ McCARRON-QB-ALA-NFL COMP-MATT RYAN-ATL-Personally I believe Tony Romo has been one of the leagues top 10 QB'S  for a while, and his play has been the main reason a overrated roster has actually been in a position to make the playoffs the last 3 years. Still, the pressure of always getting the majority of the blame for the Cowboys woes( instead of placing it squarely on Jerry Jones interfering shoulders) has got to be wearing on him . Now he is 34 , coming off back-to-back BACK surgeries, and his guaranteed money runs out after the 2015 season . This back injury is a disc , and that may limit his amazing pocket mobility, which is one of his greatest strengths  . Throw in that some of the games Dallas has choked away actually are due to something Romo did, that the salary cap strapped Boys can save over 3 million off the cap by cutting Kyle Orton, and a heir apparent QB is a huge need right now . McCarrons last bowl game being the rare exception, AJ is known for playing his best in the biggest games in the SEC, and for not turning the ball over. That makes him the opposite of what Romo is routinely accused of .AJ was a winner at College football's most recognizable program ,who has always been overlooked despite his success, has a huge chip on his shoulder, a high football IQ, just enough arm strength, and a supermodel girlfriend. No pressure, but that kinda sounds like Tom Brady's bio, and the blueprint personality that can put up with all the crap that comes with being the QB of Americas team  . Except AJ was more successful in college and got the girl even earlier . Now if he would only stop listening to his agents about things like skipping the senior bowl . Thank GOD his competitive streak kicked in ,and he threw(and threw well) at the combine . NFL coaches infatuation with stronger arms is why we have him being the 5th QB being drafted and going in the 2nd round here .I have him as the 4th QB and rated as a low first round pick in my personal rankings . I would ABSOLUTELY take AJ over Carr . 

56.DETROIT-(49ers,kc)-JIMMY WARD-S-N.ILL-NFL COMP-EARL THOMAS-SEA-With the Lions being a bit tight on their salary cap Louis Delmas became a luxury they couldn't afford . Now that they have saved  5 million off the cap by getting rid of him a new safety is a distinct possibility in the draft . The surprising Ward is a player that I liked more and more with each additional game that I watched.

57.CHARGERS-TRE MASON-RB-AUB-NFL COMP-MAURICE JONES-DREW-FA- This is probably the last season for Ryan Mathews as a charger even though he is coming off his best season as a pro .His career long penchant for fumbling or getting hurt at the worst time was finally avoided for once in 2013 . However betting on it 2 years in a row seems far fetched to me right now .Danny Woodhead is a great complimentary player,  but its hard to imagine that his small frame could handle 300 touches.Mason is big play guy who has proved he can carry a full load the whole game.

58.SAINTS -KEITH McGILL-CB/S-UTAH-NFL COMP-RASHEAN MATHIS-DET-SEA-Jabari Greer is 32  , coming off a torn ACL, and the Saints will be able to save 4 million off the cap if they cut him this off-season .The large framed McGill is one of the next wave of big cover corners coming into this copycat league because of the success of Seattle .His All-star game success has probably moved him into the first 2 rounds. The scarcity of corners after the first 50 picks makes it much more likely the bigger ones will be over drafted .

59.COLTS-GABE JACKSON-G-MISS ST-NFL COMP-LARRY WARFORD-DET-It's really good that Andrew Luck is a big strapping mobile QB . Otherwise I doubt he would have survived the season intact with the horrible way his guards and center played this year . You think Luck's great now ? Imagine him with time to throw without a couple of dudes about to smack him in the teeth , and a lot less bruises. The colts need to draft a guard and center with their first 2 picks (and maybe even sign another in free agency) to give him a chance to reach his vast potential .I doubt the browns will franchise pro bowl center Alex Mack . If so the Colts should back the money truck up on his doorstep at midnight of free agency and make him the leagues highest paid center  .If they can get Mack and Jackson in one off-season this O-line will go from a weakness to a strength .

60.PANTHERS-#JACK MEWHORT-OT-NFL COMP-DAVID STEWART-TENN-. I not only doubt current right tackle Byron Bells long term potential on the outside, but underrated long term left tackle (and should be future HOFer) Jordan Gross will be 34 this year .I believe Mewhort is a better fit at right tackle , but he has a chance to actually make it as a left tackle if given some time to try it out . Either way he is a physical player that will help restore the teeth to the Panthers running game .

61.SAN FRANCISCO-PAUL RICHARDSON-WR-COL-NFL COMP-NATE WASHINGTON-TENN-Right now the best option the 49ers receiving core has to run by the defense is (30 years old next year) TE Vernon Davis. Boldin and Crabtree are more big bodied move the chains guys . Boldin & Mario Manningham are also free agents after this season . Richardson would not only be lightning out of the slot or outside , he could also open up their offense with reverses/end arounds, bubble screens etc...  It would probably be nice to have a guy that can run right past the defense when they bite on play action .It would be hard for even the cannon-armed Kaeperneck to overthrow him.

62.PATRIOTS-CJ FIEDOROWICZ-TE-IOWA-NFL COMP-MERCEDES LEWIS-JAX-DALL-The entire offense the Patriots want to run is predicated on 2 tight end sets . Right now even if Gronk is completely healthy for the season he is called on to block a lot , because he is far better than any other blocking TE the pats have .Fiedorowicz is also a good blocker who would allow Gronk to spend more time wreaking havoc downfield . CJ is also sure handed and athletic enough to also be a threat as a receiver as well .

63.BRONCOS-*MARCUS ROBERTSON-CB-FLA-NFL COMP-TRAMON WILLIAMS-GB-With future HOFer Champ Bailey on the verge of being 36, coming off an injury, played poorly this year, can save the Broncos about 10 million off their cap, and his only chance to stay is probably with a move to safety . I don't think he can keep up at corner anymore so the Broncos might need a new corner in the draft . Throw in that Rodgers-Cromartie is a free agent this off-season and it actually might be their biggest need come draft day .
Robertson was the most impressive corner in the SEC early this season . Another in a long line of injury's tripped him up again. If Robertson can stay healthy he can be a physical corner for the broncos and also help out in the return game .

***TRADE The RAIDERS trade their 3rd round pick(#67) and their 6th round pick to the SEAHAWKS for their 2nd (#64) round pick***

64.RAIDERS-(sea)-JIMMY GAROPPOLO-QB-E.ILL-NFL COMP-KURT WARNER-retired-The raiders need a QB of the future if they want to convince the fan base that they are serious about competing long term. Jimmy is a gamer with a good football IQ, accuracy, a lightning quick release , and he is a good value this late in the draft . Think Kurt Warner with more mobility  .


  1. You are projecting Rashede Hageman to Buffalo in the second round, suggesting Buffalo needs a 3-4 defensive end. Buffalo has Alex Carrington coming back from a season ending injury last season. He was promising in training camp. Plus, with Jim Schwartz coming in as the new DC, the odds are that Buffalo is going to shift to using more 4-3 alignment and less 3-4.

    1. Thanks for the info on Schwartz . I knew about Carrington, but he looked undersized and overpowered in the first 3 games in the 3-4, especially against New England .I will make changes accordingly

  2. There is ZERO chance the Packers take a CB anywhere before the 5th round, much less in the second after taking a SS in the first. They have too many other needs and they are going to either get the deal done with shields or franchise him.

    1. I like Sheilds but not enough to pay him franchise money, even for one year ..ZERO chance is a odd thing to say . You can never have enough corners in today's pass happy NFL .Even if you resigned Shields and Justin Gilbert fell to the 21rst pick I bet the packers would run to the podium and take him ..Micah Hyde didn't exactly light up the world in the slot and most teams spend about half the game in nickle these days .. Most teams stop worrying about need in the 3rd and 4th round and just take the best player available . In my next Mock I have them taking Nix in round one anyway .