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Thursday, December 31, 2015

2016 NFL MOCK DRAFT - 12/31/15

When the 2015 draft came to an end I am sure many of you were already wondering who the top prospects for 2016 might be, but now the actual college and NFL seasons are almost done ,and the real work begins. Trying to predict not only the top prospects, but also the draft order is still a tall order right now, but I am willing if you are. So keep that in mind because some of these guys will get hurt, play to avoid injury & disappoint, decide to stay in school, maybe even be kicked off the team, or just not play up to my expectations as a whole . Not to mention the teams may play better or worse for a whole lot of reasons themselves.  The Patriots " US against the world" mentality is working right now. I bet right now the deflate gate witch hunt, which I still believe was just a chance to retroactively punish the Pats for not punishing them hard enough for Spygate, looks pretty stupid to 'DICKtator' Goodell and his cronies right now. Carolina has emerged as the favorite in the NFC in my book. So I am now predicting a another PATRIOTS/PANTHERS SUPERBOWL, but this time the panthers gave a great QB too. The prospects have former or current NFL player comparisons below their name , so you can get an idea of who it is your team might be getting.  However, I will change them later if someone else comes to mind that I think is a better comp.  Right now I see a draft deep at offensive tackle, Interior D-line, edge rusher , safety, center, outside off the ball linebacker, and running back if the players I expect come out. Still, there is no clear cut elite franchise top players at the top of of this draft. I currently have 3 QB's with a 1rst round grade, but none of them are as highly graded as Winston & Mariota last year. Although the rest of this years draft is better in blue chip talents at the top compared to last season .The Patriots have officially been docked their number one pick. So here it is. Enjoy.


# Is for a player with with reported character or maturity concerns


** Is for a player with reported injury concerns.




1.TENNESSEE - JOEY BOSA - DE - OHIO ST.

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JUSTIN TUCK - RAIDERS
For a young team that has already got some of the major building blocks of their rebuild in hand the best player available is usually the best strategy. Bosa has the highest floor with a pretty good upside,and in a draft where their is no clear cut number one pick he might be the best choice for them. The question is what defense the Titans will be running next season under their new head coach. Fortunately for Tennessee Bosa is scheme diverse.   
Rarely do you see a 4-3 strong side end who is a great pass rusher, but Bosa is. He also has a great frame with long arms and the overall height and length to be a 5 technique. Shocks blockers with his hands off the snap and stays in control of them until he wants to shed them. He is already very disruptive against the run or pass despite being a focus of offensive game plans.



2.CLEVELAND - JARED GOFF - QB - CALIFORNIA

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - TRENT GREEN - retired
I has expected the Browns to still be planning on Manziel being their QB of the future, and with McCown getting knocked out of the game week one he was already getting a chance to play. If he had kept maturing, growing as a passer, and staying out of trouble he may have actually developed into that guy. I wasn't sold on him yet though, and he cleared things up by imploding again right after he was named the starter for the rest of the season. Unless he gets another shot , and it's very possible with McCown now out for the year, I personally don't believe that Johnny does well enough for the Browns to stay committed to him. So the Browns draft a new potential franchise QB here. and Manziel is gone in this scenario. 
Goff is a top shelf talent with a good arm. If he can add 15 to 20 pounds of muscle before the combine to fill out his frame ,and can convince NFL teams that he can transition to a pro style offense ,he has a chance to be the first QB drafted. Goff has improved in all areas this season, and even adjusted well after a spate of interception heavy games around mid-season. Even though Goff isn't an elite QB prospect right now, he is still pretty good, and a QB needy team will probably snatch him up high.

 

3.SAN DIEGO - LAREMY TUNSIL - OT - OLE MISS
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JOE STALEY - 49ers
The chargers O-line woes have continued this year. They especially need a center , and I expect they will go there in round 2 or 3, but it's highly unlikely you will ever see one worth this pick in any draft .They have even spent a lot of money & draft picks on this O-line recently, and while injuries and retirements have contributed to the whole debacle, they don't look much better just yet. Right tackle Joseph Barksdale is on a one year deal, and it's curious that the Rams( or anyone else for that matter )wouldn't pay him much after a good 2014 season. My guess is they move on from him , even though he has played OK this season. They are still financially committed to current left tackle King Dunlap, and that will probably be the difference between he and Barksdale, but they can flip Dunlap over to the right side. Tunsil is coming off a broken leg , and was being held out by the NCAA for receiving extra benefits. The punishment finally came to an end and he started playing again on October 24th against Texas A&M. Not only did Tunsil play, he played really well against a likely 2017 top 10 pick in Myles Garrett, and he has continued to play well since. The suspension could be a blessing to him , because less games means less chance of injury. As long as he keeps showing he is still the same elite talent I saw on tape before the injury , avoids any character mishaps, and avoids another injury, I believe he will be the first OT taken.  




4.SAN FRANCISCO - PAXTON LYNCH - QB - MEMPHIS

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - (a bigger) - CARSON PALMER - CARDINALS
Colin Kaepernick's Jeckle and Hyde imitation has continued, and while I think he is getting to much of the blame, his contract allows them to move on from him after this year without a big penalty. Now that they have benched him( and since it's Gabbert replacing him I don't see them getting much better) a new QB is the most likely pick here.A more standard issue pocket passer will probably be wanted by the new head coach the niners are likely to hire. Yes, I think Tomsula will also be gone by next year. I wasn't on Lynch until I watched the Ole miss game, but after I saw how well he played in that game I went back and watched the rest. He's a legit first rounder, with a perfect frame, and great tools & athleticism. Although it would probably be smart for him to sit behind a veteran for at least part of his rookie season why he learns the pro game. I have no doubt his physical abilities will WOW teams in the pre-draft process. After a really bad bowl game Lynch is going to have to do some damage control to merit this pick, but QB's tend to go higher than they should.



5.JACKSONVILLE - RONNIE STANLEY -OT - N. DAME

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - DUANE BROWN - TEXANS
Blake Bortles has made huge strides this season, but Luke Joeckel has not, and I personally no longer believe in Joeckel as a left tackle.Gus Bradley will keep his job after this season, and he knows protecting Blake is a priority, and you can't know how good Bortles can be until he has better protection on the backside. Stanley would have been a first round pick in the 2015 draft, would be a big durable upgrade at left tackle , and would also be an asset in their zone blocking scheme.  


6.DALLAS - JALEN RAMSEY - CB/S - FLORIDA ST.

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - CHARLES WOODSON - RAIDERS
Sorry cowboys fans. I was one of those who though you could pull out the division and make a run with Romo back, but without him it's over this year. As of now though I just believe they will be so mentally drained after the Romo injury that they have a good chance at Bosa. On the bright side a top 5 pick can not only bring you a premium player, but picking at ( or near) the top of every round , in addition to the extra compensatory picks you are likely to have, could really fill out your roster for a title run next season . It wouldn't surprise me if they lost every game the rest of the way, but the way their season has gone they will probably screw themselves and win at least one game. At best they win 2 with Cassel, but they could completely lose out too, and for now I am going to just guess they lose them all. Don't forget Cassel was the QB of the 2012 chiefs who lost 9 of his 10 starts on the way to a 2-14 record & the first pick in the draft. This is a similar circumstance. With Romo gone Dallas might rest Dez because he is playing hurt, and is obviously not himself yet,, but i doubt they do until they are mathematically eliminated. They could even part ways with perennial headache Greg Hardy. Either to just rid themselves of his distractions,  save money on the cap, or both. Now that Moore is playing and Washington has already locked up the division I believe they will bear Washington in week 17, and knock themselves out of the top 5. They need Bosa, Ramsey, or Jalon Smith with this pick to fill a big need ,and also get value in the top 10.  No I will not give them a QB this high if your wondering. Not only does a healthy Romo make them an instant contender, but Jerry Jones isn't going to use a top 10 pick on a guy who is likely to sit at least a year, and possibly 3. Jerry is in his 70's , and desperately wants to to win a Jimmy Johnson-less title he can claim all for his own. Most don't count their last one in 1996 for Jerry, because Jimmy built the overwhelming majority that roster. Although , I do think Dallas drafts a QB in the first 3 rounds to groom for the future, be a competent backup to Romo now & give them a better chance to avoid a complete collapse again if Romo's hurt for a stretch next year  . However, Dallas desperately needs playmakers on defense. Now if they would just fire predictable ,ultra conservative game micro-manager, run on almost every first down , give up before half time & kneel down, unable the manage the clock Jason Garret,  I would really think they could win it all next year. Norv Turner anyone? Sure, he's not Tomlin or Belichick  . However, he would allow Jerry the spotlight he craves and run this offense much better. It's highly unlikely though. Garret is Jerry's guy and I think he would rather lose than admit he made a mistake when he gave him a long term extension. Between the impending free agency & injury proneness of Morris Claiborne, the questions of how speedy slot corner Orlando Scandrick will look coming off a torn ACL, the high salary of Brandon Carr, and the fact that neither Carr or Claiborne has ever lived up to their billing Dallas is going to need help at corner next season. Ramsey is a former corner who converted to safety in 2014 and had a big season. Now they have converted him back to corner , and he looks great. The NFL is longing for players who can play both. Ramsey can fill that need while teaming with Byron Jones to give their secondary a lot of flexibility for a long time. Plus he has the ideal size that the NFL is now seeking in corners.




7.MIAMI - JAYLON SMITH - LB - N. DAME

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - DERRICK JHONSON - CHIEFS
Left guard Dallas Thomas has been atrocious this year, and injuries all over the line have decimated the Dolphins, but I don't see them taking a guy they are likely to play a guard out of the gate when a stud like Smith can fill a big need at middle linebacker. Kelvin Sheppard is OK in the middle, but he just doesn't cover enough ground, especially in coverage. Smith has sideline to sideline ability, and is an elite athlete in the middle who can excel in coverage.




8.BALTIMORE - JACK CONKLIN - OT - MICHIGAN ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JAKE LONG - FA
Joe Flacco's cap number will be north of 28 million this year. With him now coming off a major injury I can see why some might want the Ravens to take a new QB here. Especially because they aren't likely to pick this high again anytime soon, but I will tell you while I doubt it. First, Flacco's  cap number is so high because he had so much leverage coming directly off a Superbowl victory. The ravens were 3-7 with at QB this year before he go hurt.Second, Flacco had also just had one of the great statistical postseasons in NFL history when he got over paid. This year Joe has 14 TD's, 12 picks, is 25th in QB rating, and 28th in total QBR. 4th- Flacco is coming off a major knee injury, and that not only depresses his value for next season, but also long term. You may look at  Flacco and see a big plodding guy , but he isn't. Sure he hasn't been the athlete that Newton or Luck are as a big QB's, but he has always been underrated with his sneaky athleticism in my book. That is probably unlikely coming off this injury. So with the Ravens likely to return from a rash of injuries, reload in the draft, and get Flacco at a much more reasonable price this time around, I doubt they go QB in the first round. With Eugene Monroe being injured again, and his knee being a long term issue anyway, the Ravens are probably looking for a long term left tackle prospect. James Hurst has been really bad replacing Monroe, both last season & this year. In fact it was his inability to hold his ground that caused Joe to tear his ACL & MCL. Conklin plays angry and would be a good long term upgrade at left tackle. This pick added to a healthy Flacco, 3rd place schedule, and another great Ozzie Newsome draft can make them a contender right away.


9.PHILADELPHIA - TAYLOR DECKER - OT - OHIO ST.

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JARED VELDHEER - CARDINALS
Chip Kelly got fired, and while I still believe he will be a great NFL coach in Tennesee, they need to move forward rebuilding their O-LINE. Either way they are set up to run a zone system , and will value Decker more than most teams because he played in a very similar scheme in college. Cutting Pro bowl left guard Evan Mathis has proven to me a huge mistake for the Eagles. To rectify the problem the eagles need someone agile enough to play in their system, and strong enough to anchor the pocket in the passing game.That being said it would currently be a bit of a reach to take any of the other OT's left on the board here, but like I said Decker is tailor made for there scheme, and could start out at guard. I thought he played better in 2014 , but I expect he will test so well in the pre-draft process that many offensive line coaches will believe they could make him more consistent. If he does become more consistent  he could be great. He can also slide over one spot to left tackle if soon to be 34 year old Jason Peters goes down again, and maybe be the long term answer there . That makes this an even better fit.



10.NEW ORLEANS - LAQUAN TREADWELL - WR - OLE MISS
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - ALLEN ROBINSON - JAGUARS
Drew Brees tends to miss high when his throws are off the mark, and that's why Marques Colston and Jimmy Graham have been so valuable to him over the years in New Orleans. That is also why 5"10" Brandin Cooks hasn't worked out for them as well as they hoped, and why they should either trade him, find more ways to get him open in space, or permanently move him to the slot . So it stands to reason that if they are going to get Brees a new potential receiver he needs to either be tall ,or a good leaper. Williams looks like he has finally shaken the rust off and is showing he is the same talent he was before a serious leg injury. He is also currently the best bet at WR to be a top 5 pick in this draft if he a receiver needy team is picking that high.



11.TAMPA BAY - JASON SPRIGGS - OT - INDIANA

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - TERRON ARMSTEAD - SAINTS
So far Tampa Bay's O-line has looked very bad , and while all these younger players could develop by seasons end I think it's clear that Donovan Smith would be a better fit at RT , or even better inside at guard. With Logan Mankins turning 34 this season, on the downside of his career, and having a salary close to 7 million he could be cut . Smith could then slide inside to left guard. If they want Jameis Winston to survive & thrive they will need to upgrade the left tackle spot at the very least. Spriggs is a 4 year starter that has improved every season. I have a low first round grade on him right now, but he has already grown on me a lot this season.  He is also the kind of athlete that could rocket up draft boards with a good senior bowl & workouts.



12.CHICAGO - VERNON HARGREAVES the 3rd- CB - FLORIDA

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - DARRELLE REVIS - JETS
With Jay Cutler playing better than expected ,and Jon Fox having an a aversion to playing rookies at key positions, I am now thinking they go a different direction in the draft. The bears have plenty of needs though ,and Fox prefers to build on the defensive side of the ball. I had previously never seen a sophomore corner be the clear cut best corner in all of college football before, but Vernon was in 2014 . He is smart. fluid , physical and fast. He only has average size, but you wouldn't know it by the way he challenges receivers.


13.NEW YORK GIANTS - EMMANUEL OGBAH - DE - OKLAHOMA ST.
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - EZEKIEL ANSAH - LIONS

The pass rush was the real key to the Giants 2 Superbowl victories under Tom Coughlin, and despite DC Steve Spagnouolo's return I doubt it's a good one this season. JPP already looked on the decline due to his back injury, but blowing up his hand in a boneheaded fireworks gone wrong incident only makes things worse. They already rescinded his long term contract offer, and considering how badly he has handled the aftermath of this situation,  I would be shocked if they brought him back next season. He finally passed a physical and is playing again, but even if they do bring him back I think he would he might be a better fit on the strong side now. so far they have kept playing him on the right though.
Ogbah has the explosive burst and size off the edge NFL teams crave , and he could fill that spot. He is still really raw and mostly gets by on talent right now, but like Ansah he could be a pro - bowler if he gets coached up & buys in. He is another guy I could easily see rising in the top 10 by the time the draft roles around if a team falls in love with his tools.


14.BUFFALO -**- MILES JACK - UCLA

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - LAWRENCE TIMMONS - STEELERS
Preston Brown is good at taking on blocks and stuffing the run, but he is just OK in coverage & as a pass rusher. Also, he doesn't cover enough ground for the exotic defenses that Rex Ryan likes to run. Jack was playing inside a lot more this year after Eric Kendricks moved on the NFL, but a knee injury ended his season prematurely. Some may have thought Jack should have returned for another year, but he has a insurance policy that pays him 5 million if he gets injured and doesn't go in the first round. That being said he had too much to lose to stay in school, and wisely let the Bruins know he was leaving for the draft I thought he was atop 10 pick pre-injury , but he is just too good to fall far as long his medicals come back positively. He is already a play-maker , has the athleticism to be a every down stud at any linebacker spot , in any defense, if he puts on a little more muscle. He can even fill in at running back if the Bills suffer another rash of injuries in the backfield


15.INDIANAPOLIS - ANDREW BILLINGS - NT - BAYLOR

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - BRYANT YOUNG - RETIRED
Billy Wynn is better as a backup interior D-Lineman on any team, but he is especially miscast as 3-4 nose tackle. Billings is massively strong,  can take on the double team , penetrate, and has the quickness to develop into a good pass rusher. He has the second highest upside of all the DT's (behind only Nkemdiche)in this draft, and the ability to play any interior position in a odd or even front. If he takes well to NFL coaching and reaches his potential he could be elite.



16.OAKLAND -#DEFOREST BUCKNER -DE - OREGON

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - CALAIS CAMPBELL - CARDINALS
With the raiders switching to a 3-4 defense ,and lacking the long term 5 technique DE prospects needed to take it to next level, Buckner's selection would be ideal.Buckner is a guy I couldn't help noticing on tape when I was watching 49ers 2015 first round pick Arik Armstead. He has similar gigantic dimensions, but was a much more productive player than Armstead on film. He has had even better season this time around, has won match ups against big time players this year, and must be accounted for on every play. He deserves to go than this in my opinion, but I am sure the Raiders would laugh all the way to the bank if he was here this late.




17.ST. LOUIS - REGGIE RAGLAND - ILB - ALABAMA

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - ROLANDO McCLAIN - COWBOYS
Personally I now think Jeff Fisher is one of the most overrated coaches of all time. Don't get me wrong , I am sure he is a nice guy, a skilled politician, is good at dealing with the media, and is even a good defensive mind. But he's not anyone who should ever have anything to do with an offense. As a matter of fact ,unless he had Steve McNair at QB his teams have always under performed even when they are really talented. Middle linebacker James Laurinitis has really gone down hill this year. He used to at least be a reliable run stopper, and was at least passable in zone coverage, but this year he has declined in coverage & been even worse against the run. Ragland is a better athlete, bigger & better at taking on blocks, can be more agile in coverage, and is a vastly superior blitzer.


18.DETROIT - ROBERT NKEMDICHE - DT/DE - OLE MISS
NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - SHELDON RICHARDSON - JETS

The lions lost Suh and Fairley, and Haloti Ngata is just a short term partial stop gap at the position. They do have some promising young players inside.  but a potential ALL - PRO DT would surely be welcomed again. Nkemdiche has the size and strength to hold up against the double team, and the explosion & quickness to rush the passer. He was the # 1 overall prospect out of high school a few years back for a reason, but a recent bone headed high profile off the field incident involving weed could send his stock tumbling.


19.
ATLANTA - SHAQ LAWSON - DE - CLEMSON

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - BRIAN ROBINSON - VIKINGS
Roddy White has had a long and distinguished career. in fact he is a future HOFer in my book. However , father time is undefeated and had caught up to Roddy now, but with all the injuries among this draft's top receiver's it's not clear if their will be another receiver worth this pick after Treadwell's gone. For now they can get value here with Lawson, and fill a need. Kroy Beirman still holds up well against the run on the strong side despite being undersized, but he is just serviceable as pass rusher, and will be 31 next season. Lawson has had a great season against the run & pass. He is also big & strong enough to move inside on obvious passing downs. After the game he played against likely top 10 pick Ronnie Stanley everyone is taking notice.



20.PITTSBURGH TRE'DAVIOUS WHITE - CB - LSU

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JOHNATHAN JOSEPH - TEXANS
After the retirement and cap cuts of so many long term veterans the Steelers defense is in a transition phase. They drafted 2 smaller corners this year, but need another with more size, and they especially need to replace Antwon Blake. White has displayed great feet and shown a penchant for disrupting passes at LSU. He was also the player who covered Amari Cooper better than anyone in 2014.


21. WASHINGTON - KENDALL FULLER - CB - VIRGINIA TECH

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JASON McCOURTY - TITANS
I know some of people will be  shocked that I now have the Redskins winning the NFC EAST , but it makes a lot of sense to me. They have the best division record and play the ROMO-less( I.E. really bad cowboys) twice in the next 5 weeks, including the last game when Dallas could be in contention for the # 1 pick & hoping to lose. They also play an Eagles team who's defense has been terrible in back to back weeks. Also the Giants just have a all around tougher schedule. The skins face the dominant Panthers, the Jets in what is basically a neutral field, have to play the Vikings & Dolphins on the road, and close out the season against Philly who will pull probably try out all the stops to spoil their season . If Kirk Cousins leads them here they will not only likely be out fo contention for a first round QB, but also might try to get him signed to a low risk middling ( for a QB) contract that only obligates them for about 2 years like Nick Foles deal. This is especially likely if they make the playoffs because jay Gruden will keep his job for another year, will want to keep Cousins, and their new GM is committed to building the whole roster up for the long haul through the draft. Chris Culiver has been injured this year & bad when healthy. Plus , Deangelo Hall is 33 and way past his prime. In that case I have Fuller as the highest ranked corner left. Fuller will join his brothers as NFL cornerbacks, and has the talent to be the best of the bunch. Although he is coming off an injury I still see his size, previous tape, and polish getting him into the first round.



22.HOUSTON - EZEKIEL ELLIOT - RB - OHIO ST.

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - (a faster) - ARIAN FOSTER - TEXANS
Arian Foster is out for the year, will be 30 next season, the Texans can save 6.5 million of their cap by cutting this off season,, and will have missed 23 of the last 48 regular season games. They can get a younger, faster, more durable, and cheaper version of him right here though. Elliot is the only for sure first round back in this draft, has been extremely productive for 2 straight years, and he fits their system.


23.NEW YORK JETS - GERMAIN IFEDI - OT - TEXAS A&M

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - ANTHONY COSTANZO - COLTS
The Jets were a team with a good defense and bad offense last year, and I was expecting it to be the same this year despite more weapons on offense, until I remembered that Chan Gailey is their new OC. Gailey is a coach that plays to his QB's strengths, instead of trying to force them into his cookie cutter offense. That being said , I thought Geno Smith now had a much better chance at success as their starting QB. With his broken jaw slowing down that process , it was really hard to see it going well enough to get them in the playoffs this season . From now on Geno should pay his gambling debts , and also avoid writing checks with his mouth that his ass can't cash , or he could piss his entire career away.  The other main reason I expected them to still miss the playoffs is the lack of a significant upgrade along the O-line, and the lack of a good QB. Fitzpatrick has played better than I thought he would, and they may still miss the playoffs ,but it will at least go down to the wire now. However, all of the current starters except left tackle D'Brickashaw Ferguson are better as run blockers, and only center Nick Mangold is a plus player right now. Ferguson is on the decline ,and I doubt he will be worth the 8.6 plus million they would have to pay him in 2016. The Jets could save a lot of money by cutting him and upgrade the position. Ifedi is the next Texas A&M offensive tackle with a good chance to go in the first round. He has already played tackle & guard,  has been especially good in the run game, and in that's a big plus in this run first offense .



24.GREEN BAY - SHILIQUE CALHOUN - DE - MICHIGAN ST.

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - CLIFF AVRIL - SEAHAWKS
Clay Matthews is the kind of player that would be effective in many different roles. While the packers certainly miss him as an edge rusher they say they want to keep him inside as the QB of their defense . Calhoun has improved this season , but I still think he would be better as a 3-4 OLB, instead as the 4-3 end he is now. With Julius Peppers on the decline, turning 36 next season, and the chance to save over 7 million by cutting him, I would go here in the draft for that reason alone. Add in that their other 2 primary rush backer s(Nick Perry and Mike Neal ) are also free agents means addressing this position early in the draft is a must. 



25.KANSAS CITY
 - JERALD HAWKINS - OT - LSU

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON -  WILLIAM BEATTY - GIANTS
The only thing former #1 overall pick Eric Fisher has shown for certain is that he doesn't play well as a left tackle. Current left tackle Donald Stephenson is a good athlete , but watching him get mollywopped against Green Bay convinced me he is not the long term answer for the Chiefs on the blindside either. Hawkins was LSU's right tackle last year, but he isn't the mauler most people want on the right side, and profiles better as a left tackle. Since he has moved to the left side this season (after the departure of La'el Collins )he has excelled. He has left tackle feet & is a good athlete, but needs to convince teams he can consistently play nastier to rise up higher in the draft.



26.CINCINNATI - KENNY CLARK - DT - UCLA

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - STAR LOTULELEI - PANTHERS
Domara Peko is still a decent starter who gives good effort, but he will be 32 next season, and they can save about 3.5 million off the cap letting him go. They could negotiate his salary down & try to keep him as a backup, but they have been trying to replace him since 2012 when they drafted Still and Thompson in the 2nd & 3rd rounds. Since neither of them were able to beat him out , Still has already been let go, and Thompson will be a free agent after the year, I believe they will be trying to draft a DT that can stuff the run & give more as a pass rusher than they are currently getting from their one techniques. Clark excels at taking on the double team and playing with leverage. Has the strength to play nose & the agility to be a 5 technique if called upon to do so, but I like him best in the middle. If he had more pass rush moves he would go higher, but right now he's mostly a bull rusher, although he regularly collapses the pocket. He is hands down the most consistent run stuffing interior college D- Lineman I have seen this season on tape.


27.MINNESOTA - CODY WHITEHAIR - G/T - KANSAS ST.

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - JOEL BITONIO - BROWNS
Left tackle Matt Kalil has definitely played better this year, especially in the run game, but was still better 4 season ago as a rookie. However , barring something going really wrong in the rest of this season the Vikes will probably pick up his 2016 option. Left guard Brandon Fusco has just been downright bad in pass protection though. Whitehair is a college left tackle who's best position in the NFL may be at guard, and he would especially be a huge upgrade inside as a pass protector. He could play left guard as a rookie , and would at least give them a solid fall back option for Kalil if he gets hurt again ,or they decide to not resign him after next season.


28.ARIZONA - A'SHAWN ROBINSON - DT/DE - ALABAMA

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - MARCELL DAREUS - BILLS
The Cards need help on the front of their 3-4 defense. Other than their elite 5 technique Calais Campbell none of their down lineman can both hold the point of attack against the double team, and get a good pass rush.  Robinson tape hasn't been as good as 
I hoped it would be, but he still has first round talent. His versatility to play both the NT and 5 technique make him a good fit for the cards.


29.DENVER - JONATHAN ALLEN - DE - ALABAMA

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - TYRONE CRAWFORD - COWBOYS
O-line is their biggest need but I don't see a guy worth this pick available right now, and a lot of teams that run zone schemes tend to think they can get undersized college lineman later. However, their second biggest need is probably at 3-4 DE. Both Derek Wolfe and Malik Jackson are free agents this off season, and I doubt they can resign both. Of the trio of Alabama interior D-Lineman that have a chance to go in the first round Allen is the best pass rusher of the three. I am not sure if he wouldn't be an even better three technique in a 4-3, but he has already proven what a stud 5 technique he can be in the SEC.


***TRADE*** The RAMS trade their  2nd rounder they got from PHILLY in this draft and their 3rd rounder  to the SEAHAWKS for their first rounder (#30)***TRADE***



30.RAMS-(seattle)- CONNOR COOK - QB - MICHIGAN ST.

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - MATT RYAN - FALCONS
First off let me say the Seahawks should pick nothing but O-lineman in the first 3 rounds, but not only do I doubt they will, I think they trade back unless a zone tackle they think is worth this pick is available when they are up. The rams obviously aren't sold on Nick Foles, and why they have him signed for next season I believe their new head coach will want to draft a QB high. Coming into the season Cook had a chance to be the first pick in the draft. He had the size, big arm, and talent around him to make a big jump up in production this season. He did cut down on his turnovers, but also had an injury, suspiciously wasn't a captain for his team, and hasn't always shown that "IT" factor & grace under pressure that every team wants in their franchise signal caller.Hence the Ryan comparison . Barring the leadership questions ( which Ryan doesn't suffer from ) he reminds me of Ryan because I believe he needs a lot around him to win it all, but is still capable with a strong supporting cast. The captain thing worries me most ,because the odds of a 3 year starting senior QB not being a captain are very low. On tape I have a low first round grade on him right now, but QB's tend to go higher than they are ranked by grade. If teams come away comfortable with his ability to lead a team after all the investigating is done , and he plays well the rest of the season I think he still goes top 15. If the leadership questions are cleared up , and he plays well in the playoff, I think he still has a chance to be the first QB taken. However, with all those questions right now I think he will be a 2nd rounder on a lot of teams boards. With the 5th year of control a first round pick provides a team under the CBA being so valuable( especially for QB's) I see a team who wants him taking him in the first.



31.CAROLINA - COREY COLEMAN - WR - BAYLOR

NFL PLAYER COMPARISON - STEVE SMITH - BALTIMORE
Out of all the teams that pursued La'el Collins the Panthers were the one that NEEDED him the most, but he signed with Dallas so they still need a left tackle. While Michael Oher has surprisingly looked pretty good at LT in pass protection , he has been horrible as run blocker, but I no longer think they will look to replace him in the first round. Cam Newton also deserves a reliable wide receiver. Someone who can get open and be relied upon to make the catch. Coleman does both and he can stretch the field. If he was 6 "2" he would be a top 5 pick , but even at a reported 5"10" he has been unstoppable this year.He's fierce and reminds me of a young Steve Smith minus the dominant attitude that Newton doesn't need in his huddle.

4 comments:

  1. Can you please stop disrepcting the Ravens with that horrible draft pick you giving them. That tackle is a second round pick and you the ravens going to pick him with the 8th pick.

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    1. He is a first rounder in my book, and a top 15 pick in this draft based on his tape. Decker or Spriggs might be too, and I can see why either might be a better fit in a zone scheme, but I just love the nasty & technique Conklin brings to an O-line .The senior bowl could decide the pecking order between those 3, and now that the spartans are out of it I hope that Conklin plays in that game. Decker and Spriggs have already committed to play in it. This early I tend to mostly go need based, but I could definitely see a trade back to get more value if the decide to go OT in the first. If somebody falls who shouldn't I can also see Newsome going value over need, but unless they decide to go Hargreaves at # 8 I don't see them filling an actual meed and getting value in this particular scenario. With the NFL going towards bigger corners I'm not even sure Vernon goes in the top 10 despite his excellent tape. If Hargreaves comes in at at least 5"10" when the actual measurements are done then he goes top 10 to me, but I fear he may be shorter, and I definitely don't see him as the 5"11" he is listed at. If Ogbah or another edge rusher works their way into the top 10 mix I could also see them going there, but as of now I am going with need, and I just value Conklin more than you. Maybe my mind will change after I watch the Bama tape, but I doubt it.

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  2. Tampa will not select an OLine with first pick. If Ogbah or Hargraves are available, then they are the pick. If Lovies stays the HC, they need a pass rusher and CB before Oline.

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    1. I can see why you might think so, and even think Hargreaves is a better pick, but no Lovie Smith head coached team has ever taken a first round corner. Tampa 2 corners are usually much easier to find later in the draft compared to other schemes. You have a point about an edge rusher though, and I agree Ogbah is the most likely to rise if he test well, but as of now I am going OT. I have watched every snap of Tampa's games this year, and not only has Donovan Smith been really bad as a pass blocker, but I guarantee you the coaches already know it. Yes you can hope he will get in better shape and keep improving , but when he is still getting his ass handed to him in week 15 I don't see much progress. And that game against the rams wasn't even against Robert Quinn who missed the game with an injury. Otherwise it probably would have been even worse. The reason Lovie never won a Superbowl in Chicago was lack of good QB play, and I am sure he knows it. Winston has the potential to be an elite QB, but you can't get the best out of him, let alone keep him healthy long term, unless his blindside is well protected. So we are going to have to agree to disagree right now.

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