Thursday, August 29, 2013

2014 NFL MOCK DRAFT 9.0

Unlike last season the 2014 draft has the potential to be great . With anywhere from 4 to 8 potential franchise QB's , 3 possible top 10 OT's, and 2 pass rushers with top 5 ability, and a  legit # 1 WR. All of those players would probably been more worthy of the # 1 pick in the 2013 draft. And yes we are predicting a Dallas/Cincinnati super bowl.


1.OAKLAND-TEDDY BRIDGEWATER-QB-LOUISVILLE-The raiders have the least talented roster in the NFL thanks to years of Al Davis mismanaging the team. New GM Reggie McKenzie finally got a chance to start rebuilding the roster in this draft , and even after a draft where young fresh bodies were provided we expect it's at least one more year until they are on the way up . Nothing against Tyler Wilson or Matt Flynn , but there is a reason they were both available (4th round and a FA for the second straight year)to the raiders . Barring one of them stepping up in a big way the best available QB should be their pick.




2.JACKSONVILLE-BRETT HUNDLEY-QB-UCLA--I no longer have any faith in Blaine Gabbert to be a NFL starter. If they brought in Tebow they would have at least won games and sold tickets. This year I doubt they do much of either. Hundley has all the elite tools you can want and he loves to throw the ball down field , unlike Blaine Gabbert. When it's all said and done Hundley could be the first QB taken if he comes out early so it could be a different QB here.



3.NYJ-JADAVIAN CLOWNEY-DE/OLB-S.CAROLINA-Next year is shaping up to be a great year for QB's, and Geno Smith should get at least a couple years to see if he's the right guy long term for them . Clowney is a once a decade prospect who would have been the first pick in last years draft and in most years without a franchise QB.





4.EAGLES-ANTHONY BARR-DE/OLB-UCLA-The eagles switched to a 3-4 under Chip Kelly but lack anyone among their edge rushers who is a good fit to play OLB in this system. Barr is a former RB with an elite first step who is a perfect fit . I already had a higher grade on him than Dion Jordan . If he adds 20 pounds he could be the second coming of DeMarcus Ware.




5.BROWNS-AJ McCARRON-QB-ALABAMA- Norv Turner is one of the all time great O Coordinators and QB whisperers. So Brandon Weeden may break through this year. If he doesn't McCarron is a proven winner with the tools and leadership to be the guy long term in Cleveland. I still them as a last place team in their division though. 




6.PANTHERS-MARQUISE LEE-WR-USC- Like the Houston Texans before them the panthers seem destined to wait far too long to draft a top receiver. Steve Smith is past his prime & undersized, but he is still the best WR on this team . You would think they would want to do everything they can to help their young franchise QB succeed, but they sure are going about it in a weird way. Lee is the best WR in this class class right now. The only other option I can see for them is a LT. Jordan Gross is nearing the end of a stellar career and his replacement could learn a thing from Gross and play with him a year or 2.






7.LIONS-JAKE MATHEWS-OT-TEX A&M-2012 first rounder Reilly Reiff is probably going to be the LT for the Lions this season . I think he can handle it, but that he would be an even better fit at RT. Either way Matt Stafford's new contract means protecting him is the top priority and having good bookend offensive tackles is the best way to do that.This son of a Hall of Famer was better than any of the tackles in this years draft in our opinion, and they went 1rst, 2nd and 4th in the entire draft. 




8.BUFFALO -AARON LYNCH-DE/OLB-S/FLORIDA-After spending a lot of money on Mario Williams to rush the passer he spent a injury plauged season being double teamed. The signing of Mark Anderson to play the other side was supposed to cut down on the double teams, but he was also hurt and has been cut. The recently acquired Jerry Hughes and Manny Lawson are more the situational pass rusher/3-4 OLB body types. Lynch is not only a better pass rusher than both ,but he has the frame to add another 20 pounds of muscle ,and hold up at the point of attack long term.




9.ARIZONA-TAYLOR LEWAN-OT-MICHIGAN-While I expect the cardinals offense to be much improved with Carson Palmer and a improved O-line the loss of DC Ray Horton  and the lack of pressure I expect them to get on the QB means their defense should be a problem. Even then they are a solid team... but the NFC west is now the most talented division in football. The 49ers and Seahawks are legitimate super bowl contenders this season and the young and talented rams would be a playoff favorite in every other division in my opinion. Unless they are running the ball a LOT Levi Brown is just a serviceable left tackle who would be a better fit a guard . Coming off a major injury and with a high price tag I would expect they would prefer a long term upgrade . Lewan gives them that and with the other recent upgrades ( Bobbie Massie and the recently drafted/injured Johnathan Cooper) at O-line it can be a plus group for a long time.




10.CHARGERS-CYRUS KOUANDJIO-OT-ALABAMA- Neither King Dunlap or Max Starks is the long term answer at LT for the chargers . Former Alabama national championship line-mate could once again team up (with 2013 1rst rounder DJ Fluker )as bookend offensive tackles.tackles. This move would go a long way toward returning Phillip Rivers to his former franchise QB form.  Cyrus has immense upside and the ability to be the first tackle taken in this draft so don't be surprised if he surpasses the more polished Jake Mathews on some draft boards.


11.VIKINGS-TAJH BOYD-QB-CLEMSON-Christian Ponders injury history worries me. If he misses significant time, the Vikes miss the playoffs, or he doesn't play well I think Minnesota will be looking for a new QB. Boyd has a lot of the same abilities  as Locker. However Boyd is also an accurate passer , a proven winner in college, and he doesn't turn the ball over. Boyd's lack of height (reportedly 6 foot 1 ) is the only reason we now have 
him as the 4th QB.


12.RAMS(wash)-ANTONIO RICHARDSON-OT-TENNESEE-Roger Saffold will be a free agent this off season. We are betting somebody else will pay him to play left tackle and he leaves the rams because of it. Richardson could fill that void and he has the feet to move to LT if Jake Longs injury woes continue. 




13. TITANS-STEPHEN MORRIS-QB-MIAMI-I have never believed Jake Locker can be a NFL starting QB because he lacks accuracy, but I hope I am wrong because he is reportedly a heck of guy and teammate . This years O-line should be elite in Tennessee and the run game should be able to take a lot of pressure off him. He has also had 2 years to learn & improve, and has a lot weapons around him. but I still think he fails as a passer. If the Titans run the read option and take advantage of Jake's mobility he might buy himself a bonus season but I doubt it.  Bottom line is he needs to complete 60% of his passes and show significant improvement as a passer to stick around. The Strong armed Morris makes throws that few can .






14.STEELERS-LOUIS NIX-NT-N.DAME-Two thirds of the once elite front 3 of the Steelers have retired in recent years. With Brett Keisel in his mid thirties, the last of the mohicans could fall soon. The rarest species of player is the 3 down nose tackle.Nix fits that bill and is an elite talent that could lead their line for years. A replacement for someone in their again secondary would fit as well.




15.RAMS-ED REYNOLDS-S-STANFORD-In the last 2 years under Jeff Fisher the rams have made a large jump in talent thanks to the RG3 trade and a few free agent deals. The area they have neglected is safety.Why they cut Quintin Mikel is beyond me and unless they sign Kerry Rhodes this will be a definite need . Reynolds is a born ball hawk that would give their defense what it's missing.




16.TAMPA BAY-CJ MOSLEY-ILB-ALABAMA-In a division with Drew Brees , Matt Ryan, and Cam Newton a 3 down middle linebacker is a must.Mosley could not only be their long term QB of the defense on the inside, he is also a 3 down LB who would be an even better fit in a full time 4-3 where he can be better protected to run to the ball.



17.MIAMI-BRADLEY ROBY-CB-OHIO ST-Vontae Davis was traded and Sean Smith is a chief. Throw in newly acquired Brent Grimes coming off a torn Achilles and a infusion is probably needed at corner. If Grimes is OK and resigns and Rookie Jamar Taylor plays well they would still need another young corner. Interior D-line is also a need with Paul Soliai and Randy Starks over 30 with big cap numbers.




18.CHICAGO-ANTHONY JOHNSON-DT-LSU- Henry Melton is playing this year under the franchise tag and will cost a lot if he repeats his performance this season. Even if he is resigned they are still running the Tampa 2 ,and front four pass rush is crucial to that defense. Another pass rushing DT next to Melton is a huge need even if they can keep him. If Jermon Bushrod bombs at left tackle , or Jay Cutler leaves those positions could also be in play.




19.FALCONS-DAVID YANKEY-T/G-STANFORD-The Falcons are replacing the entire right side of their line . RT Tyson Clabo was their best lineman and he is one of the guys being replaced. LT Sam Baker is inconsistent and injury prone. Add the fact that 2 rookie corners are being counted on to be key players this year and I wouldn't be surprised if they actually missed the playoffs because of these 2 areas. If those players grow into their roles they may squeak in , but I don't see them as Superbowl threat at all this year. Yankey can play either guard or tackle giving them more options and chances to get the 5 best O-lineman on the field at the same time.




20.RAVENS-JAMES HURST -OT-N.CAROLINA-Bryant Mckinnie is near the end and Michael Oher is a better fit at RT( although guard would be his best position). Hurst could be Flacco's long term blindside protector. His high profile match-up against Clowney this season could see him rise into the top 10, or fall out of the 1rst round altogether. 




21.CHIEFS-SAMMY WATKINS-WR-CLEMSON-The best thing about Dwayne Bowe is his blocking. His hands are suspect and he is getting slower by the year. As a #2 in a run first offense he is a good fit though. Watkins has the ability of a number one WR and Andy Reid has shown a willingness to draft WR's high.




22.SAINTS-TRENT MURPHY-DE/OLB-STANFORD-The saints witched to a 3-4 this season and the out-for-the-year Victor Butler was their best fit as an OLB. It should be a big need next year and Murphy has been playing the position at a high level for years at Stanford. The lack of needing to learn the position (unlike most guys coming from college)should help him in Rob Ryan's complicated scheme.




23.COLTS-STEPHON TUITT-DE/DT-N.DAME-To properly run the 3-4 you need big 5 technique ends that can set the edge against the double team, but still provide a pass rush. Tuitt can do both and the colts lack even 1 above average D-lineman on their entire roster. 




24.NYG-RYAN SHAZIER-OLB-OHIO ST-The giants have gotten by with low draft picks and veteran retread  tri-hard guys at LB for the most part this last decade. Shazier is an elite athletic 3 down LB with high level instincts. He is also a disruptive force all over the field in the run and passing game.




25.SEATTLE-AUSTIN SEFERIAN-JENKINS-TE-WASHINGTON-- The seahawks TE's have been either hurt or under performing for the most part in the Pete Carroll era. Jenkins is an elite athlete with the speed to stretch the defense and the size to stand out in a crowd for the diminutive Russel Wilson. He also brings it as a blocker in the hawks run first offense. If not for off the  field concerns he could be gone a lot higher. 




26.PATRIOTS-
MARCUS ROBERSON- The Patriots go through more high drafted DB's than anyone in the league , Belichick is always on the lookout for the next corner who might be able to play on an island and allow him to blitz. Marcus is a technician and a taller  corner.  New England lacks both . 




27.PACKERS-COLT LYERIA-TE-OREGON- An elite athlete to replace the elite athleticism of Jermichael Finley. Finley is as talented as they come but his mental errors. inconsistent hands, and lack of blocking make him expendable  Someone will pay him for his upside but unless he puts it;s all together this season we doubt it's the packers. Lyeria has the same type of ability but he sure looks like he trying a lot harder than Finley.




28.HOUSTON-JOHNNY MANZIEL-QB-TEXAS A&M- Matt Schaub's guaranteed portion of his contract is about done. If the Texans don't win big this season I expect them to put some pressure on him by drafting a QB. Johnny football would provide the Texan offense with a lot of new wrinkles .





29.SAN FRANCISCO-DEVANTE PARKER-WR-LVILLE-Between Michael Crabtree's injury , Anquan Boldins age, the AJ jenkins/Johnathan Baldwin debacle, and a tight salary cap the 49ers are going to need to hit on a receiver in the draft very soon. 
Teddy Bridgewaters number 1 guy is going to be seen by a lot of scouts this season. He is a reliable pass catcher with a wide catch radius and the body control to find a way to come down with the ball. 



30.DENVER-AJ JOHNSON-ILB-TENNESSEE-With DJ Williams gone, the underwhelming Joe Mays cut,  and Denver failing to address MLB in the draft .  Johnson is a well rounded LB who can play QB the defense in Denver for a long time.




31.BENGALS-HA'HA CLINTON DIX-S-ALABAMA-The Bengals are one of the leagues most talented teams and safety is one of the few areas of weaknesses on their team. Dix has been a great player, in a great conference, against top competition. 




32. DALLAS-GABE JACKSON-G-MISSISSIPPI ST- Dallas has gone quantity over quality at the guard position the last 2 years, and the results haven't been pretty . Even if Ronald Leary or Mackenzy Bernadeau work out this season an upgrade at one guard spot will be needed . The oft-injured 31 year old Nate Livings is getting a salary bump next year, and we just don't see his level of play being worth what he is already being payed. Jackson is an ideal fit for the new Dallas zone blocking scheme. 

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