Friday, January 25, 2013

2013 NFL MOCK DRAFT 3.0-post senior bowl

The biggest post season ALL-STAR games have been played ,or more importantly in the senior bowl's case, the practices are done. Everybody should now be gearing up for the combine. Some senior players who either declined to play in the senior bowl , or who couldn't make it due to injury will have dropped. Some other guys who have played in either the senior bowl,east/west shrine , or NFLPA all star games will have seen their stock adjust.Through no fault of their own some juniors who are inelible for those games will drop a little.. Everyone is still catching up on watching more tape on some guys they didn't expect to be in the draft. Some guys will already have risen/dropped if we have gotten to mor  eof their tape because of it. Others drop only because some seniors have done some good things in the all-star games. Thanks to a lot of possible high 1rst round picks surprisingly staying in school this draft is the weakest in years at the top ,and in players we grade as 1rst round picks as a whole. There is some strong depth throughout  it thanks to a record number of underclassmen . With the new CBA in place expect to see draft picks being more valuable and teams willing to take more risk high up considering the financial risk isn't anywhere near as big as it used to be. Next to each player is the NFL player we feel they will most resemble in their prime if they are a hit. The comp is for on the field play only ,and the higher they are ranked the more likely we think they will reach that comparison.

* Is for a player with possible injury issues.
#Is for a player with possible character issues

1.KC-GENO SMITH-QB-W.VA-NFL COMP-WARREN MOON-HOF RET.-Ignore the RG3 comparisons. He's not that type of an athlete. He is a good athlete for a QB though, but not the elite runner that Griffin is. He's mobile but always is looking to throw first. Not an elite franchise QB prospect like Luck or RG3 ,but the best in this class.  If your KC or AZ he's a lot better than what you have. Considering the strength of KC's O-line , and with Smith's current lack of pocket awareness he needs a good one,he could have a great rookie year if he is lucky enough to end up there. Strong arm ,good accuracy when he's set, and is clean off the field. Needs work on mechanics ,handling the blitz,and adjustments right now. Also needs to add weight and learn a pro system.As long as he is at least 6"2" and 220 lbs when he's measured this makes sense, and we think he's taller now, and will add the weight by then. The hiring of QB guru Andy Reid makes it even more likely.If no QB separates himself and a team badly wants Joeckel. then  a trade back is in play. They won't get a RG3 type haul for a OT though.

2.JAX-STAR LOTULELEI-DT-UTAH-NFL COMP-HALOTI NGATA-BALT-Thier run defense up the middle is bad right now  and this guy clogs the middle by just breathing . They have Mincey and Babin on the outside now, so that should improve their pass rush . Star can also push the pocket and improve the overall rush as well.

3.OAK-BJOERN WERNER-DE-FLA ST.-NFL COMP-DERRICK MORGAN-TENN-Pass rush is a weakness especially on the outside where they have some DT size guys coming off the edge.He has a high floor and the new raider regime needs that.More than any other team in this draft the are likely to move back if the chance to acquire more picks and fill more needs comes up.

4.PHIL-LUKE JOECKEL-OT-TEX A&M-NFL COMP-JOE THOMAS-CLEV-A massive amount of O-line injuries wrecked their season last year. Peters will be back and they can move Hereman back inside if they can get someone else on the outside.They need a CB too, so Milliner is a possibility. Milliner could be in the mix as well. DRC is a free agent and Nnamdi is way overapid for what he has done there.

5.DET-DeMARCUS MILLINER-CB-ALA-CHARLES TILLMAN-CHI-They have had crappy CB play for years and only improved one side last year with Chris Houston,who he is now a free agent . If the coach and GM want to keep their jobs they should get CB help right now.

6.CLEV-JARVIS JONES-OLB/DE-GA-NFL COMP-CLAY MATHEWS-GB- Jaball sheard regressed as a pass rusher last year and Juqua Parker is near the End. While I feel Jones is a better fit as a 3-4 OLB the browns may put him in a Von mIler type role.

7.AZ-ERIC FISHER-OT-C.MICH-NFL COMP-JOE STALEY-SF-With an O-line that was bad in a biblical way last season and no QB worth the pick, the top rated OT available when they pick should be a lock. He will not only be their best lineman when he shows up ,but would also allow the returning from injury Levi Brown to move inside where he belongs.That improves 2 positions. If a QB seperates himself thats a possibilty, but I pity that poor bastard unless the O-line is fixed.

8.BUFF-DAMONTRE MOORE-DE/OLB-TEX A&M-NFL COMP-JOHN ABRAHAM-ATL-Mark Anderson was hurt a lot this season. Add this guy to a healthy Williams bros & Dareus and they would have the leagues best front four ,with a perfect blend of youth and veterans up front.

9.JETS-KENNY VACCARO-S-TEX-NFL COMP-KERRY RHODES-AZ-Laron Landry is a free agent and injury prone. This guy can play either safety spot and inject some youth into their secondary.The jets play so much man that safety play is essential.

10-TENN-CHANCE WARMACK-G-ALA-NFL COMP-JAHRI EVANS-NO-None of the 3 guards who started for them played well last year. With this draft having so few players who are elite at their position, a guard in the top 10 won't shock us at all. Trading down or going after a CB or edge rusher are also viable options.

11.SD-LANE JOHNSON-OT-OKLA-NFL COMP-NATE SOLDER-COL-Another BAD O-line . 2 years ago the left side of their line was elite with Dielman and Mcneil. 2 injury retirements later and Phillip Rivers is a wreck. This guy is an athlete. He started juco ball as a QB but kept growing. Then he was a TE and DE. Finally settled in as a RT as junior at OKLA, and LT as senior. Might be a small reach ,but this isn't a strong draft and they are desperate on the left side.

12.MIAMI-.*KEENAN ALLEN-WR-CAL-NFL COMP-JORDY NELSON-GB-They need a number one WR. This guy looked great even with bad QB play and constant double teams. It also allows Hartline to be a possesion receiver and makes Tannehill's life easier.

13.TB-JOHNTHAN BANKS-CB-MISS ST-NFL COMP-RICHARD SHERMAN-SEA-Definitely a bit high right now but they traded their best CB last year and they need another big corner now.

14.CAR-SYLVESTER WILLIAMS-DT-NC-NFL COMP-MARCELL DAREUS-BUF-Carolina not only has bad run defense , but also needs leadership and toughness up the gut. This local guy is a huge mature beast of a man who gives them all of that, and even improves the pass rush.

15.NO-SHELDON RICHARDSON-DT-MOU-NFL COMP-CULLEN JENKINS-PHIL-The saints interior pass rush needs some work and Sedrick Ellis is a FA to boot. This is the drafts best declared interior pass rusher and he is from a local school .With the move to a 3-4 he could be a long term bookend to go with Cam Jordan.

16.STL-JHONATHON HANKINS-DT-OH ST.-KEVIN WILLIAMS-MINN- They would be wise to try and package some picks and move up for a OT, but in this scenario they take a NT for their new 3-4 defense.

17.PITT-MANTI TEO-ILB-N.DAME-NFL COMP-STEPHEN TULLOCH-DET- Larry Foote was a liabilty last season. Te'o gives them another 3 down LB to go with Timmons, and adds some young leadership to an aging defense.This pick is not a hoax!

18.-JOHNATHAN COOPER-G-N.CAR-NFL COMP-ANDY LEVITRE-BUFF-The right side of the Dallas O-line needs an upgrade. There are no tackles worth this pick left in this scenario,so how about a plug an play guard? Cooper is more of a LG, but Nate Livings is a better fit on that side anyway.Coop can also play center in a pinch. I am sure Dallas fans are sick of seeing Romo run for his life, this guy could help immediately.  It's safe to say Lane Johnson would be in play if he fell here.

19.NYG-DION JORDAN-DE/OLB-ORE-NFL COMP-JEVON JEARSE-RET-GM Jerry Reese is known for taking the best player available, and in this case it fits a need. The Osi and Tuck era has likely come to an end.  JPP can handle one side, but unless they move Kiwanuka down to the line they are short a starting DE. Pass rush was the main reason they won 2 superbowls in 4 years and I am sure they know it.

20.CHI-#ALEC OGLETREE-LB-GA-NFL COMP-LAWRENCE TIMMONS-PITTS-Urlacher and Briggs are long in the tooth. With there being no O-lineman worth this pick right now, they take a great player at a position of need. Unless some other young O-lineman shows well in the pre-draft process expect him to be considered.

21.CINC-CINC-TAVON AUSTIN-WR-W.VA-NFL COMP-PERCY HARVIN-MINN-This mans lightning in a bottle on the field. Running, catching, and returning are all in the toolbox. Explosive and would take some pressure of Dalton to Green.If a RB blows up the pre-draft process that is also a possibility.

22.RAMS(wash)-QUINTON PATTON-LA.TECH-NFL COMP-RODDY WHITE-ATL-The rams have a lot of young WR talent, but Amendola is the only one with any polish and he is often injured. Patton is polished , fearless, can stretch the field, and will give Bradford a reliable target.

23.MINN-CORDARELLE PATTERSON-WR-TENN-DEZ BRYANT-DALL- They need anyone who can take attention away from Adrian. Percy Harvin is probably going to to be traded unless he as an attitude adjustment, and with his injury and attitude history they should get what they can now anyway. This guy can run block too and you need that on this team.

24.INDY-DESMOND TRUFANT-CB-NFL COMP-JASON McCOURTY-TENN-Probably the 3rd best CB after the senior bowl,and they need CB help badly. He was a standout at the senior bowl. If he runs well it's even more likely and need will likely push him up draft boards either way . If a good O-lineman rises ,or one falls who shouldn't ,that should come first. Luck got hit constantly all season.They are a candidiate to trade up for a lineman if they don't address it in free agancy.

25.SEA-SHARIFF FLOYD-DT-FLA-NFL COMP-MUHAMMAD WILKERSON-JETS-This Florida product played well in 2011 even though he was playing out of position at DE.This year they moved him inside to DT and he took off. Flexible enough to also play 3-4 end ,and a great athlete for a 300 pounder. Pete Carrol's defense shows a lot of different looks and a versatile guy like Floyd would come in hndy.

26.GB-ZACH ERTZ-TE-STAN-NFL COMP-KYLE RUDOLPH-MINN- The ubertalented but usually dissapointing Jermichael Finley will probably be gone this year in free agency. Ertz is consistent as a receiver ,and despite not being a great blocker right now, the effort is there. He is already a much better blocker than Finley will ever be .They need some O-line help, but I don't have any graded high enough yet in this scenario. Both starting OT's will return from injury as well ,so that might fix the problem.

27. HOU-JESSIE WILLIAMS-DT-ALA-NFL COMP-VINCE WILFORK-NE-Nose tackle is their largest weakness. This guy is big, strong, and raw. I expect him to test well and move up draft boards.The Australian import hasn't been playing football that long, but he plays the run like a NFL NT right now. He is so athletic that he lines up at FB for Alabama as well. With some refinement on his pass rush moves he can be a 3 down NT.

28.DEN- XAVIER RHODES-CB-FLA ST.-NFL COMP-NnAMDI ASOMUGHA-PHIL-Champ Bailey is still a good player despite his last game, but he will also be 35 next season. This big corner is likely to test well and who better to learn from than the champ.

29.NE-JUSTIN HUNTER-WR-TENN-NFL COMP-SIDNEY RICE-SEA-Its probably more likely they trade this pick to someone wanting to grab Wilson,Barkley or Glennon late in the first, but they need a young #1 WR who can play outside. They may not pay Welker, but at least they have Eidelman in the slot as a possible replacement. Lloyd is older and not very physical. This guy does everything well and he can stretch the field.Before injuries happned thsi guy was considered a top 10 pick.

30.ATL-COREY LEMONIER-DE-OLB-AUB-NFL COMP-ANDRE CARTER-OAK-John Abraham is getting up there and they need an eventual replaement who can play other positions till he is done. This is the best edge rusher left in this scenario.If Gonzalez really retires than look for Tyler Eifert to be considered.

31.SF-BARRET JONES-C/G/T/-ALA-NFL COMP-MAX UNGER-SEA-Not a lot of needs with the 49ers, but this fills one. Not elite in any area and I don't even grade him this high. He's just a grinder who gets it done somewhow. He can back up every O-line postion even if they are able to keep all 5 starters this off season, and gives them leverage in any contract negotiation.They could also go best player available ,or look to inject some youth into their D-line.

32.BALT-KEVIN MINTER-ILB-LSU-NFL COMP-TAKEO SPIKES-SD- I am sure Ozzie Newsome would love for Te'o or Ogletree to fall this far and replace the soon to be departing Ray Lewis . I doubt that happens but this guy may be a better fit than at least Ogletree .

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